Recon Reports,Vortex Messages

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senorpepr
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#81 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:44 pm

97779 04344 70280 8341/ 30900 15050 1010/ /3112
RMK NOAA3 0701A ARLENE OB 12 KWBC
LAST REPORT



[RECCO | ARLENE (01L) Mission VII, Ob #12] Time: 4.34Z; Lat: 28°N; Long: 83.4°W; Turbulence: Lgt Ocnl Mdt; Flt Condition: Unknown; Flt Level: 10138ft; Flt Winds: SE (150°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpoint: 50°F; Weather: Unknown; Sfc Winds: N/A; Remarks: Last report
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#82 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:54 pm

That sure is far out to the NE of the center. Matter of fact just 50 miles or so roughly NW of St. Pete, FL
Last edited by Dean4Storms on Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#83 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:55 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:That sure is far out to the NE of the center.


Yes, the NOAA flight is exiting Arlene, enroute to MacDill AFB, FL.
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#84 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:55 pm

Convection forming over center. First time in its life. But this storm has weaken some.
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#85 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Jun 11, 2005 12:07 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Convection forming over center. First time in its life. But this storm has weaken some.


Which center? It's hard to keep up with all of them. :lol:
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#86 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jun 11, 2005 12:42 am

97779 05294 70288 88219 15300 07030 16153 /2465
RMK AF305 0901A ARLENE OB 01



[RECCO | ARLENE (01L) Mission IX, Ob #1] Time: 529Z; Lat: 28.8°N; Long: 88.2°W; Turbulence: Lgt Ocnl Mdt; Flt Condition: In cloud; Flt Level: 5020ft; Flt Winds: E (70°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpoint: 59°F; Weather: Overcast Skies; Sfc Winds: N/A; Remarks: None
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#87 Postby Pebbles » Sat Jun 11, 2005 12:43 am

Are they running pretty much non-stop flights till landfall now?

Christine
:) I smile because i have no idea what's going on! :)
2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!
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#88 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jun 11, 2005 12:51 am

Pebbles wrote:Are they running pretty much non-stop flights till landfall now?

Christine
:) I smile because i have no idea what's going on! :)
2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!


Yup.

Mission IX just started. They'll finish up around 7:30am CDT.
Meanwhile Mission X will be enroute to Arlene. They'll finish up around 4:30pm CDT.
Meanwhile Mission XI will be enroute to Arlene. They'll finish up around 2:30am CDT.

Mission XII hasn't be scheduled yet and I doubt it will. Arlene should make landfall during XI's flight.
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#89 Postby Pebbles » Sat Jun 11, 2005 12:53 am

k thanks for the info..



Christine
:) I smile because i have no idea what's going on! :)
2005 guess: 15/10/6
<----- Feel free to Rub the cute LUCKY Pebbles belly!
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#90 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:35 am

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 11/05:59:50Z
B. 27 deg 41 min N
086 deg 47 min W
C. 850 mb 1366 m
D. NA kt
E. 000 deg 000 nm
F. 056 deg 050 kt
G. 309 deg 051 nm
H. 993 mb
I. 16 C/ 1534 m
J. 18 C/ 1539 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1234 / 8
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF305 0901A ARLENE OB 02
MAX FL WIND 50 KT NW QUAD 05:44:00 Z
MAX FL TEMP 20C 289/ 10 NM FROM FL CNTR



[VORTEX | ARLENE (01L) Mission IX, Ob #2] Time: 559Z; Lat: 27.7°N; Long: 86.8°W; Central Pressure: 993 mb; Eye Character: N/A; Eye Shape: FALSE; Eye Diameter mi; Max Flt Wnd: 58 mph (NW quad); Est Sfc Winds (using 80% reduction): 46 mph; Remarks: None
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#91 Postby loon » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:43 am

she may not make it........
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#92 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:44 am

loon wrote:she may not make it........


What do you mean?
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#93 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:44 am

4 milibar rise??? In plus 50 knot winds over the northwestern Quad. Remember the northwestern quad has the covnection tonight. That shows that Arlene has weaken some.
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#94 Postby loon » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:46 am

She should survive with the slightly warmer SSTs to her west, but, she is looking her worst yet tonight....be interesting to see whats left in the morning...

cheers
the loon
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#95 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:47 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:4 milibar rise??? In plus 50 knot winds over the northwestern Quad. Remember the northwestern quad has the covnection tonight. That shows that Arlene has weaken some.


Looking at satellite one would have to agree.
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#96 Postby loon » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:50 am

Stormcenter wrote:
Looking at satellite one would have to agree.


Sat + Vortex = she may not survive, thats what I was meaning =]
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#97 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:50 am

50 knots-60 mph so reduce that the winds are around 45 to 50 mph.
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#98 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:51 am

97779 06324 70264 85419 15400 20035 16169 /2445
RMK AF305 0901A ARLENE OB 04



[RECCO | ARLENE (01L) Mission IX, Ob #4] Time: 632Z; Lat: 26.4°N; Long: 85.4°W; Turbulence: Lgt Ocnl Mdt; Flt Condition: In cloud; Flt Level: 5052ft; Flt Winds: S (200°) @ 40 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpoint: 61°F; Weather: Thunderstorm; Sfc Winds: N/A; Remarks: None
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#99 Postby loon » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:54 am

where are you getting these reco's from senorpepr? I'm still seeing LAST REPORT
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#100 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 11, 2005 1:58 am

It keeps looking worst. This might make landfall as a weak tropical storm. Weird storm for sure.
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