How strong do you think the nhc will put the winds at 5am?

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5am winds?

75 mph hurricane
1
8%
70 mph stays the same
6
50%
65 mph
0
No votes
60 mph
0
No votes
55 mph
1
8%
55 mph
1
8%
50 mph
2
17%
45 mph
1
8%
40 mph
0
No votes
 
Total votes: 12
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

How strong do you think the nhc will put the winds at 5am?

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 11, 2005 2:48 am

The convection is gone. The LLC seems to be weaken a little. Recon shows 50 knots of wind which is around 60 mph. Reduced to the surface is around 50 mph.

I'm going to say 50 mph.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 11, 2005 3:05 am

Recon has found a report of 75 mph winds at flight level likely will be around 65 mph.
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Coredesat

#3 Postby Coredesat » Sat Jun 11, 2005 3:06 am

Agreed. I voted 50 MPH. I see very little convection as compared to earlier. I actually wouldn't be surprised if the next advisory reduced it to less than that.

EDIT: I guess Arlene still does have a few surprises left for us.
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senorpepr
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#4 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jun 11, 2005 4:02 am

Not really a surprise that it remained at 70mph...
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