Big time wave.....

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Jun 13, 2005 6:53 pm

coming off the African coast -- an early Cape Verde season?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #2 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Jun 13, 2005 6:54 pm

The enviroment is way to unfavable. It has to deal with strong shear in dry air. Its way to early. Look at the shear just northwest 50 knots.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... m7shr.html

#3 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Jun 13, 2005 6:54 pm

Maybe, but the dry air is not readily apparent.

#4 Postby **feederband** » Mon Jun 13, 2005 6:55 pm

Nice to look at though....

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #5 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Jun 13, 2005 6:57 pm

Dry air...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/WV/20.jpg

#6 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Jun 13, 2005 7:13 pm

It is impressive to look at and ponder the possibilities.

Radar · #7 Postby **Radar** » Mon Jun 13, 2005 9:18 pm

It truly is an impressive wave moving off the Africian continent and although the conditions are not favorable for development it does make one wonder..... If there are waves of this magnitude coming off Africa in June, what will the waves coming off of Africa in Aug, Sept and Oct look like? Could be a phenonmenal Cape season from these indications... Any thoughts or comments?

#8 Postby **dhweather** » Mon Jun 13, 2005 9:21 pm

We get to hurry up and wait for the CV season.

With all of the June activity, I wonder if Dr. Gray will up his numbers in
August.

#9 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jun 14, 2005 2:32 pm

Well it poofed as expected as dry air and shear haved combined to weaken it.But the time will come by late july,august and september when things in the Eastern Atlantic will be more favorable.

Anonymous · #10 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Jun 14, 2005 3:46 pm

Remember, we are ahead of schedule in Hurricane Season 2005. The ITCZ is ahead of schedule, and the waters have almost never been as warm. So, the potential is, that we could see many more than average storms in July, and even a July Major Hurricane is possible.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #11 Postby **senorpepr** » Tue Jun 14, 2005 4:43 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:Remember, we are ahead of schedule in Hurricane Season 2005. The ITCZ is ahead of schedule, and the waters have almost never been as warm. So, the potential is, that we could see many more than average storms in July, and even a July Major Hurricane is possible.

True, although don't forget that regardless of how warm the waters are and how ahead of schedule the ITCZ is, storms won't form if shear and/or dry air/dust is too great.

Having the prefect running shoes don't make you a track star. :wink:

Swimdude · #12 Postby **Swimdude** » Tue Jun 14, 2005 5:11 pm

I read everything that everyone wrote as a comment... And I think the fact that there's 50 knots of wind shear should prevent all development either way. Has there been any storm to form under those conditions in the past?

Big time wave.....

Big time wave.....

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