92L Plots Shift West...Trend or Flop?

[DESTRUCTION5]

http://weather.net-waves.com/td92.php

[Brent]

http://weather.net-waves.com/td92.php

BAMM wants to visit Miami.

[rtd2]

I think its to do with what I posted earlier...The system Resisting the Sheer that should drive it off to the N-NNE...

[Zadok]

It looks like they are bringing this closer to Florida. Am I seeing this correctly?

[Brent]

It looks like they are bringing this closer to Florida. Am I seeing this correctly?

Much closer...

[Stormcenter]

It looks like they are bringing this closer to Florida. Am I seeing this correctly?

Much closer...

Uh oh.

[Anonymous]

If it stays weak, it may pull more west....

[Canelaw99]

http://weather.net-waves.com/td92.php

When I click on the link, it takes me to invest 91, so I click on invest 92, and it still takes me back to 91 - what gives? LOL

[dwg71]

try this:

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_92.gif

[Canelaw99]

try this:

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_92.gif

Gives that funky, they were smoking something, map lol - I cleaned my pages, cookies, etc. yesterday, but I"ll try that again. I usually don't have a problem...

[Brent]

http://weather.net-waves.com/td92.php

When I click on the link, it takes me to invest 91, so I click on invest 92, and it still takes me back to 91 - what gives? LOL

Just scroll down... it's the same system(once again, the invest number is messed up).

[feederband]

Well if consistency has anything to do with it .. It has been there for awhile now .

[stormie]

I just noticed the west-shift on the map, too...yikes. Of course, of course...IF it develops...

[Scorpion]

Looks like we're in the bullseye for now. Too bad its gonna be nothing but rain . Thats ok though, we arent even close to August and September.

[TampaFl]

[quote=" Thats ok though, we arent even close to August and September.[/quote]

If this was August/September or even October for that matter, I would be concerned. Rain with little to no wind is good (as long as it is not flooding )

Robert

[jax]

Lower Florida will at least get rain from this....
probably this weekend.

[wxman57]

Watch the BAMD/BAMM/BAMS models out of the deep tropics - they're not dynamical models and won't figure in the digging upper-level trof along the east coast. Also, I believe I see a weak LLC forming just WNW of Jamaica north of 18N, not at 15.8N as the models initialized. With screaming southwest winds aloft, this thing will have a hard time tracking perpendicular to the flow aloft. A track to the NNE-NE is most likely.

[cycloneye]

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL922005) ON 20050614 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050614 1800 050615 0600 050615 1800 050616 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.0N 78.2W 19.4N 78.7W 21.0N 79.3W 22.6N 79.4W
BAMM 18.0N 78.2W 19.2N 79.1W 20.5N 79.7W 21.7N 79.9W
A98E 18.0N 78.2W 19.6N 78.7W 20.7N 78.9W 22.0N 78.0W
LBAR 18.0N 78.2W 19.7N 78.6W 21.3N 78.9W 22.9N 78.3W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 32KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 28KTS 32KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050616 1800 050617 1800 050618 1800 050619 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 24.2N 78.4W 28.8N 71.9W 35.6N 63.4W 43.3N 53.5W
BAMM 23.1N 79.2W 26.4N 74.8W 30.8N 66.9W 35.9N 59.4W
A98E 22.9N 77.2W 24.7N 74.7W 28.1N 70.5W 34.3N 62.5W
LBAR 24.4N 76.8W 27.6N 71.9W 32.5N 66.3W 37.3N 58.7W
SHIP 37KTS 42KTS 41KTS 35KTS
DSHP 34KTS 38KTS 38KTS 31KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.0N LONCUR = 78.2W DIRCUR = 340DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 16.0N LONM12 = 77.8W DIRM12 = 333DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 14.9N LONM24 = 76.5W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

It is not crawling anymore as it is moving northward at 10kts.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It looks like the models are getting closer to the
'LLC" Broad one....They forecast this to move northward with it getting a little stronger.

[Brett Adair]

Watch the BAMD/BAMM/BAMS models out of the deep tropics - they're not dynamical models and won't figure in the digging upper-level trof along the east coast. Also, I believe I see a weak LLC forming just WNW of Jamaica north of 18N, not at 15.8N as the models initialized. With screaming southwest winds aloft, this thing will have a hard time tracking perpendicular to the flow aloft. A track to the NNE-NE is most likely.

I agree completely with the above statements. IF this thing were going to try to track perpendicular to the flow aloft, it would likely get torn to bits. NNE-NE track is the one I buy as well.