Hrd surface winds for Arlene.

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Matt-hurricanewatcher

Hrd surface winds for Arlene.

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jun 14, 2005 5:48 pm

62 knots At its max on the 10th...Which is just under hurricane.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

At landfall this shows that it was tighting at the coast. Going from 43 knots earlier to 56 knots at landfall.

Earlier
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

Landfall
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l04deg.png

So by this data this thing was not only looking better.

1# It was one LLC.
2# Convection had started to form over that center.
3# It was trying to form a closed eye.

But was by this getting stronger!!!
0 likes   

Droop12
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 377
Joined: Thu Oct 07, 2004 9:57 pm
Location: Indianapolis

#2 Postby Droop12 » Tue Jun 14, 2005 7:36 pm

I love thse graphics from the HRD. Only bad thing about them is I was under the strongest windfield for both Ivan and Arlene. But I'll take a system like Arlene any day of the week over Ivan. :lol:
By the way, my location says Pensacola, Im actually about 7 miles SE of there.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#3 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Jun 14, 2005 9:27 pm

Droop12 wrote:I love thse graphics from the HRD. Only bad thing about them is I was under the strongest windfield for both Ivan and Arlene. But I'll take a system like Arlene any day of the week over Ivan. :lol:
By the way, my location says Pensacola, Im actually about 7 miles SE of there.


That is Gulf Breeze or the Holly/Navarre area unless you don't use downtown P'cola as ground zero.
0 likes   

User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#4 Postby Swimdude » Tue Jun 14, 2005 11:19 pm

1950 - 2004 =

~33 named storms in June [61% of seasons began with a June storm.]
~10 Hurricanes
~2 Major Hurricanes

I was wishing for Arlene to bump that number up to 11. Ah well, she had a good run for a June storm.
0 likes   

User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#5 Postby mobilebay » Wed Jun 15, 2005 12:38 am

I think Arlene could have been a lot worse had she not had all that dry air to contend with. I don't think wind shear played a big role here. My example of this is the convection on the west side and not on the east. That would go against any theory on westerly shear. I think the dry air was her demise. 8-)
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 611 guests