Rip to 92L

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Rip to 92L

#1 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 15, 2005 4:28 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It didn't had a real chance as ideal conditions were not there although convection persisted.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

Re: Rip to 92L

#2 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Jun 15, 2005 4:47 pm

cycloneye wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It didn't had a real chance as ideal conditions were not there although convection persisted.


I believe it had a better chance of developing the what's in the BOC now. Also Arlene developed in less then ideal conditions.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

Re: Rip to 92L

#3 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jun 15, 2005 4:52 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It didn't had a real chance as ideal conditions were not there although convection persisted.


I believe it had a better chance of developing the what's in the BOC now. Also Arlene developed in less then ideal conditions.


I will agree partically with you comment. It had a better chance when it was a few hundred miles SSE of Kingston. However, it had a very limited window for opportunity. With the upper-level conditions being what they were, it would have had a hard time trying to becoming something. In any event, it wasn't far likely for 92L to develop all along. It was appearent that conditions aloft wouldn't improve enough for development before it become rather close to Jamaica and Cuba.
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#4 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jun 15, 2005 5:47 pm

dont write it off yet.

models, including one that I ran today, show some chance at development AFTER it moves through the Bahamas (roughly 36 hours from now)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#5 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jun 15, 2005 5:54 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:dont write it off yet.

models, including one that I ran today, show some chance at development AFTER it moves through the Bahamas (roughly 36 hours from now)


Right. I should have noted that in my reply as well. Once 92L moves through the Bahamas, that window of development reopens. Although I don't believe development will be a given...
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jun 15, 2005 5:57 pm

Nothing is a given in the tropics. Its a watch an or see.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 594 guests