Pacific Northwest Weather

snow_wizzard · #6081 Postby **snow_wizzard** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 2:12 am

YEEEEEEEEE HAWWWWWWWW!!!

I won't say another word!

snow_wizzard · #6082 Postby **snow_wizzard** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 2:23 am

Holy Sh**...I have never seen the radar like this!!! It is INCREDIBLE. Widespread heavy rain...the trajectory is amazing. It shoots out of the S to SE and then rockets out through the strait. I sure didn't think it would be this good! I have had periods where it has rained almost .01 per minute. I guess I was the only one that was near correct on this. The NWS had pathetic 60% POPs tonight. How could they justify having such a low chance?

By the way...has anyone noticed the cool low dropping down from the north next week. I have been expecting that! I am on ROLL!!! Yes indeed!

snow_wizzard · #6083 Postby **snow_wizzard** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 2:52 am

.60 so far in Covington and still pouring! I will be expecting engraved apologies from the nay sayers....Hahahahahahah... :lol:

TT-SEA · #6084 Postby **TT-SEA** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 3:30 am

Pretty impressive rainfall this evening.

Looks like its breaking up from the south now.

But you were right about tonight.

weather girl · #6085 Postby **weather girl** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 10:28 am

Well, I gotta give props to snow_wizzard for sticking with the trough at the end of the month. Nicely done. I thought for sure we would get a little ridge....maybe with temperatures into the 80s. At this point, that doesn't look likely, although the lows may back off to the west from here on out. Now it looks like the heat will be centered a littler further east (over the central plains, maybe???) I expected it over the rockies.

53 degrees, and it's been raining steadily since about 6:30. I don't think we'll end up that much above normal for June precip. Right now, we're at 1.32. The average for good ol' Salem, Oregon is 1.47.

R-Dub · #6086 Postby **R-Dub** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 2:07 pm

All I can say is WOW! 1.1" since last night!!

Back to work now :lol:

andycottle · #6087 Postby **andycottle** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 6:03 pm

A pretty darn nice day here so far with partly to mostly sunny skies. Currently I have 68 at 4:10pm. 8-)

Some real nice weather I tell ya!
-- Andy

TT-SEA · #6088 Postby **TT-SEA** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 6:43 pm

Yep... a stunningly beautiful day around Seattle. Most places around 70 degrees with lots of sunshine. Where is all the cold air and thunderstorms???

So we had the band of rain last night. It totaled .58 at the airport so I was not too far off my initial guess of .50 with this storm.

The models show very little rain for the rest of month. Sea-Tac is still below normal for entire month so we need more just to get to 1.44 inches.

Warmer weather is going to be common now as well so the below normal temperatures will be less frequent.

June should end up slightly cooler than normal with near normal rainfall. Again... there is no correlation to a cold winter.

Somebody is getting a little excited about one band of rain and what he thinks is such an incredibly strange pattern. Most places are between 1.0 and 1.5 inches of rain for the month. Sea-Tac has been above 60 degrees every day this month. Not too exciting or dramatic!!

TT-SEA · #6089 Postby **TT-SEA** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 7:27 pm

500mb heights of 550DM today with a deep low pressure nearby.

And we still ended up slightly ABOVE normal today.

Wow.

TT-SEA · #6090 Postby **TT-SEA** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 7:44 pm

In fact... Bellevue came in with 73 degrees today.

Most places officially received between .30 and .60 last night.

R-Dub · #6091 Postby **R-Dub** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 9:08 pm

2.4" of rain so far for the month at my house, and its been mostly cloudy most of the day since the rain stopped this morning. Currently 65 degrees after a high of 67. Don't know if summer is going to happen this year, at least in my area.

TT-SEA · #6092 Postby **TT-SEA** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 10:08 pm

Ohhhhh.... summer is coming.

Too bad about the clouds up there. It was very sunny around Seattle today. Deep blue skies against a few cumulus after a cleansing rain last night.

BTW - your rainfall total is more than almost all the schools sites in the Seattle area.

R-Dub · #6093 Postby **R-Dub** » Fri Jun 17, 2005 10:26 pm

Yeah TT, the good old convergence zone during the first part of the month really added to that rainfall total up here.
We have had only one day so far this month that has been cloud free, guess its time to move to North Bend

andycottle · #6094 Postby **andycottle** » Sat Jun 18, 2005 12:36 am

Looking at the GFS and ECMWF.... it appears that we`ll at least have a small chance of a shower through about next weekend as we`ll remain in somewhat of a troughy weather pattern. But for the most part, we should remain dry with temps near 70 through the work week and into the weekend. And looking into the extened period... could see a better chance at some pretty wet weather toward end of june. However...first and second of July could really HEAT UP as 850MB temps are very close to +20C and 500MB rising up to near 582DM. And this looks like it could be in responce to a 1004MB thermal area of of low pressure down in SW corner of the U.S.

-- Andy

AnthonyC · #6095 Postby **AnthonyC** » Sat Jun 18, 2005 10:13 am

TT-SEA,

You are once again forgetting the variability of weather around Western Washington...I'm with R-Dub. June of 2005 has been one of the worst summer months is a long time...my dad was saying this just the other day. It's been cool/cloudy almost everyday...we've seen very little sun/warm temperatures. And our precipitation is way above average...thank the PSCZ...and temperatures are way below normal. I guess North Bend is just the lucky place...I think the entire east side has benefited from this month. If you were to say this June is normal, I would laugh in your face...this is NOT a typical June. A typical June would feature a few morning clouds, plenty of afternoon sunshine and temperatures well into the 70s...a heatwave toward the end of the month...and very little rainfall. June of 2005 has not compared to any of this.

Anthony

TT-SEA · #6096 Postby **TT-SEA** » Sat Jun 18, 2005 11:24 am

If we end the month with very little addition rainfall... then this month will be NORMAL in that regard.

What is the FAMOUS saying about Seattle summer????? It does not begin until July 5th.

Why??????

Because June is frequently cloudy with occasional rain.

Get a grip dude.

If the models are correct we will end up slightly cooler than normal with normal rainfall.

Thats a fact.

TT-SEA · #6097 Postby **TT-SEA** » Sat Jun 18, 2005 11:30 am

And now we have a shot at 80 degrees by Monday.

snow_wizzard · #6098 Postby **snow_wizzard** » Sat Jun 18, 2005 12:53 pm

The GFS is really latching on to a big trough and well below normal temps after Monday. It has been hinting at some decent rain for Tuesday / Wednesday. After that a fairly deep trough and many chances for rain. I still think we could see the monthly average temp 2 degrees below normal and the precip hit 2.25 to 2.5 inches. The reason it is not all that cool with this tough is because the onshore flow is very weak. The models are strongly indicating a strong onshore flow by Tuesday or so. We could easily see 8 of the final 10 days of this month average below normal.

TT-SEA · #6099 Postby **TT-SEA** » Sat Jun 18, 2005 1:03 pm

We will see.

snow_wizzard · #6100 Postby **snow_wizzard** » Sat Jun 18, 2005 1:10 pm

We have a chance at yet another interesting combination of events this spring. It seems that the last time we had a May average above 56.5 and a June average 59.0 or below was 1956...the one before that was 1949. The following winters had Seattle's coldest and third coldest January's on record! It just goes to show that the combinations we are seing this year have not happened for a long time. A possible indication we have entered our cold climate phase. The chances of this month averaging below 59.0 are quite good.

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