NWS TLH HWO: Possible development in the GOMEX

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NWS TLH HWO: Possible development in the GOMEX

#1 Postby Anonymous » Fri Jun 17, 2005 12:36 pm

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?w ... er+Outlook

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP
SATURDAY OVER...OR JUST NORTH OF...THE COASTAL WATERS. IF THIS
HAPPENS...WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE WATERS WILL STRENGTHEN
SIGNIFICANTLY...AND THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AS
WELL. MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST UPDATES.
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#2 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Fri Jun 17, 2005 12:44 pm

where is this in reference to? Which coastal waters?
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#3 Postby Brent » Fri Jun 17, 2005 12:50 pm

TreasureIslandFLGal wrote:where is this in reference to? Which coastal waters?


Probably GOM.
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#4 Postby LSU2001 » Fri Jun 17, 2005 12:50 pm

"THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS."
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#5 Postby stormcloud » Fri Jun 17, 2005 1:08 pm

Both the GFS and the 12z run of the Canadian hint at either an open wave or close low developing in the central Gulf moving northeast. "Bears watch..."
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#6 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jun 17, 2005 1:09 pm

If you look at the 12z GFS you will see what they are talking about. It doesn't look like a tropical system for the GOM though. At least not on Sat. It shows another system in 72 hours developing around the Yucatan Channel and heading towards Florida (who would of guessed that).

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... ex_l.shtml
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#7 Postby vacanechaser » Fri Jun 17, 2005 3:00 pm

What they are talking about in that discussion is the MCS moving souteast over louisiana today. The GFS shows it close to the Gulf but turns east and then northeast over the Carolinas. They said "Saturday". If it stays over land, of course nothing. But if were to move out over the Gulf it could possibly start to develop if the conditions are right. The waters in that area near Louisiana are plenty warm.

The later feature that develops in the central Gulf later in the period looks to be interesting. However, the GFS is usually in la la land that far out.


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