History of landfalls and near misses for PR,VI and NE Carib

[cycloneye]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/hrcnhist.html

Take a look at link above and that is why Puerto Rico,Virgin Islands and the NE Caribbean islands of the Leewards are located in hurricane alley as history tells us how many storms and hurricanes some of them very powerful haved strucked these islands in past centuries.There is some ambiguity about the data in past centuries but that is what those show in official stats.Personnally I haved experienced Hurricane Donna(1960),tropical storm Federic (1979),Hurricane Hugo (1989),Hurricane Marylin (1995),Hurricane Hortense (1996),Hurricane Georges (1998) and tropical storrm Jeanne in 2004.That is why every year the people here prepare for the worse but hoping for the best.Let's see how the 2005 season will be for the islands in the caribbean hopefully all go fish.



date wind cat. cpoa name
5 Sep 1852 81 h1 49 NOTNAMED
24 Sep 1852 81 h1 46 NOTNAMED
30 Oct 1867 92 h1 8 NOTNAMED
22 Aug 1871 115 h3 49 NOTNAMED
13 Sep 1876 104 h2 24 NOTNAMED
28 Nov 1878 69 ts 35 NOTNAMED
14 Aug 1879 46 ts 57 NOTNAMED
10 Oct 1887 69 ts 65 NOTNAMED
3 Sep 1889 104 h2 53 NOTNAMED
17 Aug 1893 115 h3 25 NOTNAMED
14 Oct 1894 98 h2 55 NOTNAMED
1 Sep 1896 98 h2 54 NOTNAMED
8 Aug 1899 138 h4 33 NOTNAMED
1 Sep 1900 52 ts 68 NOTNAMED
12 Sep 1901 58 ts 1 NOTNAMED
10 Sep 1908 69 ts 52 NOTNAMED
7 Sep 1910 98 h2 65 NOTNAMED
14 Jul 1916 58 ts 31 NOTNAMED
22 Aug 1916 92 h1 17 NOTNAMED
19 Aug 1924 46 ts 26 NOTNAMED
13 Sep 1928 161 h5 27 NOTNAMED
17 Aug 1931 40 ts 23 NOTNAMED
11 Sep 1931 92 h1 6 NOTNAMED
27 Sep 1932 104 h2 17 NOTNAMED
26 Jul 1933 75 h1 47 NOTNAMED
28 Sep 1933 46 ts 56 NOTNAMED
9 Aug 1938 58 ts 1 NOTNAMED
6 Aug 1940 46 ts 54 NOTNAMED
5 Nov 1942 40 ts 2 NOTNAMED
17 Oct 1947 69 ts 55 NOTNAMED
3 Sep 1949 40 ts 41 NOTNAMED
23 Aug 1950 40 ts 54 BAKER
12 Sep 1955 52 ts 57 HILDA
12 Aug 1956 92 h1 25 BETSY
16 Sep 1975 52 ts 42 ELOISE
4 Sep 1979 52 ts 24 FREDERIC
8 Sep 1981 58 ts 11 GERT
7 Nov 1984 58 ts 32 KLAUS
18 Sep 1989 127 h3 12 HUGO
16 Sep 1995 109 h2 37 MARILYN
9 Jul 1996 92 h1 50 BERTHA
10 Sep 1996 81 h1 65 HORTENSE
21 Sep 1998 104 h2 22 GEORGES
21 Oct 1999 63 ts 58 JOSE
22 Aug 2000 75 h1 35 DEBBY
22 Aug 2001 58 ts 39 DEAN
15 Sep 2004 69 ts 27 JEANNE


The above list is for Puerto Rico landfalls since 1851.



The above are all the landfalls and near misses that the islands in the NE caribbean including Puerto Rico,The Virgin Islands and the Leeward Islands haved seen since 1851 until 2004.

[HURAKAN]

A sign that you live in the tropics!

[cycloneye]

A sign that you live in the tropics!

Definitly true.

[Brent]

At all the lines.

I was just looking at Georges the other day. How bad was that one in San Juan Luis??

[cycloneye]

:eek:

At all the lines.

I was just looking at Georges the other day. How bad was that one in San Juan Luis??

Georges at above radar loop crossing Puerto Rico.

Brent it was very bad what occured here.Extensive damage although only 2 deaths related to it.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/public_report.html

At above link is the preliminary report of Georges for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.

[Brent]

WOW... I can just barely remember Georges(I was in 5th grade, and I would draw maps during school of where the hurricane was ). That was when it was a strong 4 before it got to the Islands. If it hadn't weakened, damage would have been much worse.

[cycloneye]

WOW... I can just barely remember Georges(I was in 5th grade, and I would draw maps during school of where the hurricane was ). That was when it was a strong 4 before it got to the Islands. If it hadn't weakened, damage would have been much worse.

We were very lucky as it made landfall at boarderline cat 2/3 (110,115 mph) instead of a strong cat 4 150 mph that at one point it reached east of Guadeloupe.By the way that radar image is my avatar.

[cycloneye]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/pshsju.html

Brent you want to know a little more about the passage of hurricane Georges over Puerto Rico? At link above there is more data about lowest pressure,peak sustained winds,peak gusts and rainfall totals.

[*StOrmsPr*]

Georges over south-east PR!

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Georges at 150 mph east of Guadeloupe but after that weakened thankfully before it crossed the islands.

[Brent]

The U.S. was also very fortunate in that it never fully recovered from it's passage over the 10,000 foot mountains of Hispanola(I didn't know that until I read the preliminary report from the NHC).

[HURAKAN]

RAMS simulation of Hurricane Georges making landfall on Puerto Rico at 2030 GMT on September 21, 1998. Streamlines indicate surface wind direction. Model examines effects of sea surface temperature on hurricane intensity and effects of topography on landfalling hurricanes, and is in reasonable agreement with actual hurricane data. At 8.50 hours into the 48 hour integration the eye is well defined. Isosurface is model predicted condensate, representing a value of 0.1kg/kg of condensate (rain, aggregates, graupel, hail, and pristine ice). Simulation was integrated on a 5-km horizontal mesh covering 230 east-west points, 105 north-south points, and 27 points in the vertical extending to 26 km above ground level. Graphics generated using Environmental WorkBench (EWB) courtesy of SSESCO

[cyclonaut]

:crazyeyes:

The U.S. was also very fortunate in that it never fully recovered from it's passage over the 10,000 foot mountains of Hispanola(I didn't know that until I read the preliminary report from the NHC).

Man if Georges would have stayed just north of the islands by a degree or 2 & it would have meant big problems for the U.S.!

Specifically Florida!

To be more specific South Fla!

[Brent]

Yep...



It was just barely a hurricane after it passed Hispanola and went over Eastern Cuba.

[cycloneye]

And thankfully it weakened from a strong cat 4 150 mph to a boarderline cat 2/3 because dry air affected it just before it entered the NE Caribbean.

[Swimdude]

Amazing radar there, Cycloneye. After doing the math, it's also interesting to note that Brent and I are the same age - although he's obviously a bit more intelligent in the subject of the tropics.

Anyway - just looking at that "near miss" map makes me dizzy. Heck, you can't even see the islands!

What fun the tropics can be...

[cycloneye]

RAMS simulation of Hurricane Georges making landfall on Puerto Rico at 2030 GMT on September 21, 1998. Streamlines indicate surface wind direction. Model examines effects of sea surface temperature on hurricane intensity and effects of topography on landfalling hurricanes, and is in reasonable agreement with actual hurricane data. At 8.50 hours into the 48 hour integration the eye is well defined. Isosurface is model predicted condensate, representing a value of 0.1kg/kg of condensate (rain, aggregates, graupel, hail, and pristine ice). Simulation was integrated on a 5-km horizontal mesh covering 230 east-west points, 105 north-south points, and 27 points in the vertical extending to 26 km above ground level. Graphics generated using Environmental WorkBench (EWB) courtesy of SSESCO

That's a very interesting grafic that I haved never seen.Sandy thanks for posting it.

[caribepr]

Interesting info! Thanks

[cycloneye]

Interesting info! Thanks

This will interest you very much as you live in Culebra.

http://stormcarib.com/climatology/TJCL_dec_isl.htm

[caribepr]

Boy, looking at that was like a roller coaster ride, Cycloneye!! Thinking, hmm, not bad, ACK, not good! Those *not named* ones...sheesh!
Really fascinating info, thanks again. You know I love that site!