Strong Wave=Gale Warnings for Caribbean Waters (Edited)

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Strong Wave=Gale Warnings for Caribbean Waters (Edited)

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 20, 2005 1:23 pm

Image

This is folks a fairly strong tropical wave but in terms of development conditions aloft are not favorable at this time but some squally weather is on tap for the lesser antilles islands in the next day or so.

TROPICAL WAVE NEARING THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG 55W SOUTH OF 16N
MOVING WEST 20 KT. THIS WAVE CONTINUES TO DISPLAY A LARGE AND
IMPRESSIVE SIGNATURE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH A SW/NE ELONGATED
CYCLONIC ENVELOPE BETWEEN 50W-60W. CONVECTION HAS ALSO INCREASED
WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOW COVERING
THE AREA FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 52W-62W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS AND TRINIDAD/TOBAGO. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.



THE MID-OCEANIC TROUGH HAS FRACTURED
FORMING A CUTOFF UPPER LOW WHICH IS RETROGRADING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN CURRENTLY NEAR 70W. DIFFLUENCE E OF THIS
FEATURE IS PRODUCING INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS/TSTMS
OVER THE E CARIBBEAN ESPECIALLY S OF 13N. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
INCREASE AND EXPAND NWD AS A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE...CURRENTLY
ALONG 55W...MOVES INTO THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.

2:05 PM Discussion from TPC.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Jun 20, 2005 6:36 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#2 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Jun 20, 2005 1:36 pm

Yeah, we're wet and windy here in S. FL too....anyone got an ark I can use??? :D
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#3 Postby BayouVenteux » Mon Jun 20, 2005 2:29 pm

Could it possibly...possibly be on its way to the western Caribbean later this week for a rendezvous with a trough split backing SW? The plot thickens on "As The Tropics Churn".

Stay tuned. :wink:
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 20, 2005 2:33 pm

BayouVenteux wrote:Could it possibly...possibly be on its way to the western Caribbean later this week for a rendezvous with a trough split backing SW? The plot thickens on "As The Tropics Churn".

Stay tuned. :wink:


Agree.This may be the wave that may turn things very interesting in the Western Caribbean.
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 20, 2005 2:48 pm

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41101

Brisk winds are blowing and wave heights are high thru this bouy located east of Martinique.But pressures are not falling like a rock only slightly.
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#6 Postby Anonymous » Mon Jun 20, 2005 2:49 pm

This was the large wave that I mentioned a "keep an eye on down the road" a few days ago on the tropical update video.
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#7 Postby jabber » Mon Jun 20, 2005 2:53 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:Yeah, we're wet and windy here in S. FL too....anyone got an ark I can use??? :D


You said it... non stop rain now. Looks like its going to contunue until late tommorow.
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#8 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 20, 2005 3:10 pm

jabber wrote:
Canelaw99 wrote:Yeah, we're wet and windy here in S. FL too....anyone got an ark I can use??? :D


You said it... non stop rain now. Looks like its going to contunue until late tommorow.


Since this morning my gauge has recorded 1.20 inches of rain. We have experiences extremely heavy rain at times with fierce lightning strikes, gusty winds and even dime-size hail. Right now is raining but not very heard. Street flooding is everywhere and the Flash Flood Watch has been extended until tomorrow. Also, the temperature is 70 degrees Fahrenheit, very cool for a June afternoon.
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#9 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Jun 20, 2005 3:12 pm

You're not kiddin. I wish I had a rain gauge out there - we just had a couple hours of heavy rain here. I can just imagine what this type of thing will do to the Car. islands.... :(
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#10 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Jun 20, 2005 3:39 pm

This TW has potential for development when it reaches the W Caribbean next weekend.
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 20, 2005 6:34 pm

ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON JUN 20 2005

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N
ATLC FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W

AMZ086-210330-
E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS
530 PM EDT MON JUN 20 2005

...GALE WARNING...

.TONIGHT...FROM 12N TO 14N W OF 71W NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 14N
E OF 70W...SPREADING W.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 68W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT
WITH HIGHER GUSTS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA EARLY
TUE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN E SWELL. E OF 68W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO
15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS.
.WED AND THU...W OF 68W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8
FT. E OF 68W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.FRI AND SAT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.

This confirms what the bouys east of the islands haved shown today about the brisk winds.
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#12 Postby Radar » Mon Jun 20, 2005 9:59 pm

Things that make you go... hmmmm..... :(
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