06Z GFS now develops low (94L) and

mobilebay · #1 Postby **mobilebay** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 5:31 am

moves it into the Geogia/South Carolina border much like the Canadian has been doing. May have something here.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_072l.gif

#2 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 5:33 am

Well, we were thinking about the same thing!

mobilebay · #3 Postby **mobilebay** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 5:37 am

That's funny. Great minds think alike I guess. J/K

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #4 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 5:42 am

I been thinking around the same lines for days. I think this has a good chance.

#5 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 5:42 am

mobilebay wrote:That's funny. Great minds think alike I guess. J/K

I almost put that in mine too! :lol:

mobilebay · #6 Postby **mobilebay** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 5:45 am

dhweather wrote:
mobilebay wrote:That's funny. Great minds think alike I guess. J/K

I almost put that in mine too!

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #7 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 5:52 am

MM5 develops it to http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/mm5 ... 306/7.html

It develops near that blob of convection this morning. Also when it moves north of Cuba the enviroment is pretty favable.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #8 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 6:05 am

Nrl

By the navy the center of invest 94L is at 17.2/75.5 on the northeast side of that ball of conection.

#9 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 6:06 am

With the cold low in the GOM moving out southeast, plus the
trof off the east coast moving out, 94L is going to have about a good
of a chance as it's going to see in the next 48 hours.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #10 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 6:16 am

If or when this develops the Cmc has scored then. That model has been showing the development of this with the track it has tooken for many days. I would not be surprized if we start see the nhc use it alot more often.

#11 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 6:17 am

The NHC looks at all of the models, but the GFS is NOAA's baby, so of course,
they are going to reference it a lot.

#12 Postby **sponger** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 8:21 am

Maybe some decent surf for the weekend!

vacanechaser · #13 Postby **vacanechaser** » Thu Jun 23, 2005 8:49 am

The core of that system will move towards the gulf i believe... there may be something that moves up the east coast, but I just cant trust the GFS... generally, things go the other way.. believe me, i hope it does come north up the coast, we could use the rain badly..

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

06Z GFS now develops low (94L) and

06Z GFS now develops low (94L) and

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