Which model is your choice or you dont look at any?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The Cmc/Canada model which forecasted Ivan almost perfectly. Very good model. I hold it very strongly in which it also develops that tropical wave that just moved into the Caribbean. Then tracks it into the United states!!!

Then the Nam=North American model which was the model that has done very well with that tropical distrabance over the Eastern Pacific. Also it did not develop or spit storms out like the Gfs. Which is the old ETA model.

The Ecmwf in which case if it develops a system its almost going to happen. Normally a strong system. Also Out did the Gfs on Frances last year.

Then the Ukmet which is better then the Gfs anyday.

Then the MM5 models which have developed that low/subtropical system a few weeks ago. It likes to make systems to strong.

The Gfs=Global freaking system. Which has been poping out nothing but lows for no reasons. This model is no good for tropical cyclone development. Into tell you the truth don't use it for forecasting tropical cyclones. Not only did it screw up in sended Frances into the southeastern United states. It has done worthless so far this year. I would trust the NGM before I would trust this model. I would also trust the Eta. In both of these models are not tropical models.


The Gfdl is a good track model but likes to bomb everything.

This is sad because Canada and Europe is making better models

[mobilebay]

The Cmc/Canada model which forecasted Ivan almost perfectly. Very good model. I hold it very strongly in which it also develops that tropical wave that just moved into the Caribbean. Then tracks it into the United states!!!

Then the Nam=North American model which was the model that has done very well with that tropical distrabance over the Eastern Pacific. Also it did not develop or spit storms out like the Gfs.

The Ecmwf in which case if it develops a system its almost going to happen. Normally a strong system. Also Out did the Gfs on Frances last year.

Then the Ukmet which is better then the Gfs anyday.

Then the MM5 models which have developed that low/subtropical system a few weeks ago. It likes to make systems to strong.

The Gfs=Global freaking system. Which has been poping out nothing but lows for no reasons. This model is no good for tropical cyclone development. Into tell you the truth don't use it for forecasting tropical cyclones. Not only did it screw up in sended Frances into the southeastern United states. It has done worthless so far this year. I would trust the NGM before I would trust this model. I would also trust the Eta. In both of these models are not tropical models.


The Gfdl is a good track model but likes to bomb everything.

This is sad because Canada and Europe is making better models

The GFS also first predicted the development of Arlene .

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Yeah with the Cmc,Ukmet,Nam in all backing it. Why I'm mad with it is it was trying to form a storm to hit florida this week. In it could not see that the shear would not allow that. That shows that it has weakness when it comes to shear.

[cycloneye]

Let's get some more votes to the poll and some opinions about which model is the best.