29N/47W

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HurricaneJoe22
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29N/47W

#1 Postby HurricaneJoe22 » Fri Jun 24, 2005 1:40 am

Something spinning there with some storms increasing. ULL?
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 24, 2005 1:42 am

I seen that in thought that was interesting to. 8-)
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 24, 2005 1:49 am

The seasurface temperature is around 25 to 26 degrees. Which is warm enough for tropical development. Also the convection is forming near the center and has become quite deep. I don't think this is a ULL because convection is forming like a cdo over the center.

Wow this doe's look interesting forget the system off the Florida coast.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
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HurricaneJoe22
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#4 Postby HurricaneJoe22 » Fri Jun 24, 2005 1:54 am

haha settle down, Matt...let's see if it's mentioned in the next TWO
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 24, 2005 1:56 am

Wow look how fast things can change...This area looks pretty good :P

This area if it where to stay around this area. In keep developing deep convection could go onto be something.

Ok here is why I'm so interested. I just got done looking through the old nhc Advisories on a system just like this one.
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mobilebay
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#6 Postby mobilebay » Fri Jun 24, 2005 2:02 am

Huge upper level low! Sorry to break up the party. You can easily see the ULL over the Miami area, and also the one you are posting about. I'm not saying it can't work down to the surface but it takes a lot of time, and it rarely happens. :wink: Well for some reason it is not letting me paste the address, but if you will look at the Water Vapor loop you will clearly see what I'm talking about.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

There we go!
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#7 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 24, 2005 2:10 am

Not saying it is not a ULL but look at the shape/Conveciton over the center. This reminds me of the systems that have. If that convection stays over the center then this has a chance. I just got done looking at the shear maps which also show it decreasing.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/WV/20.jpg
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 24, 2005 2:17 am

Ok I went a little over board/jumped the ship :cry:

I was not thinking when I did this...I guest we will have to wait a while.
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Fri Jun 24, 2005 2:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#9 Postby mobilebay » Fri Jun 24, 2005 2:27 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Ok I went a little over board/jumped the ship :cry:

That's alright Matt our time is coming! I promise you we will have plenty to talk about on these late nights in about a month or so. Hang in there buddy!
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