94L is up again

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 8:44 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Here we go again with 94L which is at 23n-76w.

Guest · #2 Postby **Guest** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 8:58 am

This doesnt have a chance in developing, just rainy weather for the Casrolina's. Hope they need the rain. :eek:

#3 Postby **Steve** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:06 am

>>This doesnt have a chance in developing, just rainy weather for the Casrolina's. Hope they need the rain.

Sure it does. It would be via a combination of tropical and baroclinic processes. What happens is that heat from the wave entrains into the cooler center storm and warm the atmosphere converting it to a hybrid system. Don't be shocked if there's a Tropical Storm moving ashore in Georgia or South Carolina Sunday afternoon

.

Steve

Guest · #4 Postby **Guest** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:08 am

Hardly, and thanks for the lesson, already aware of what makes a hybrid. Thank you. :rarrow:

Javlin · #5 Postby **Javlin** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:09 am

I don't know Fred some development seems possible.The fact that some convection is tring to wrap lends me to believe it might not be an ULL anymore maybe moving to MLC.Does it get named I don't know might just be a good blow for the Lina's.

Guest · #6 Postby **Guest** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:12 am

its gonna be rainy and windy thats for sure. the moss from the oaks will be flying :eek:

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:12 am

The model guidance is not out yet but I expect that in the comming hours we will see how the Bam models think.

Guest · #8 Postby **Guest** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:13 am

Bam Bam Bam as Emeryl would say, lets kick it up a notch. :lol:

#9 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:15 am

Wait, 23N and 76W? That would be over Cuba. It looks like the main stuff is at 26N, 75.7W.

#10 Postby **Steve** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:15 am

>>Hardly, and thanks for the lesson, already aware of what makes a hybrid. Thank you.

But you said, This doesnt have a chance in developing. Care to place a friendly wager? I'm not saying it will, but it does have a chance. And if you're aware of what constitutes development of a hybrid system or even a low with gales, why would you say it doesn't have a chance, just to be contrary?

Steve

krysof · #11 Postby **krysof** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:16 am

Storm will not likely develop, the upper level winds are not favorable for almost anything. Maybe if convection continues exploding, they will give it a TD. Luckily it won't effect anyone.

Website · #12 Postby **Brent** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:17 am

Looks interesting... don't see more than a rainmaker for someone though.

#13 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:17 am

Hurricanehink wrote:Wait, 23N and 76W? That would be over Cuba. It looks like the main stuff is at 26N, 75.7W.

Exactly the position they have is 23.7n-76.1w that is in the Bahamas.

Guest · #14 Postby **Guest** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:21 am

Steve wrote:>>Hardly, and thanks for the lesson, already aware of what makes a hybrid. Thank you.

But you said, This doesnt have a chance in developing. Care to place a friendly wager? I'm not saying it will, but it does have a chance. And if you're aware of what constitutes development of a hybrid system or even a low with gales, why would you say it doesn't have a chance, just to be contrary?

Steve

You can have gales, without a tropical storm existing, and I said at best this thing could get depression status before landfalling in the carolinas

Sure I'll bet you, I say no tropical storm.

#15 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:22 am

Anything has a chance when it's the tropical season.

I give it 40/60 chance of developing into a TD.

#16 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:22 am

Frederic1979 wrote:
Steve wrote:>>Hardly, and thanks for the lesson, already aware of what makes a hybrid. Thank you.

But you said, This doesnt have a chance in developing. Care to place a friendly wager? I'm not saying it will, but it does have a chance. And if you're aware of what constitutes development of a hybrid system or even a low with gales, why would you say it doesn't have a chance, just to be contrary?

Steve

You can have gales, without a tropical storm existing, and I said at best this thing could get depression status before landfalling in the carolinas

Sure I'll bet you, I say no tropical storm.

Something that I have learned over the years in not to bet on tropical cyclones.

#17 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:23 am

The tropics are full of surprises and betting on Cyclones may not be a good thing.

#18 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:26 am

There is some fanning of the upper clouds to the north and east.

#19 Postby **Steve** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:26 am

>>You can have gales, without a tropical storm existing, and I said at best this thing could get depression status before landfalling in the carolinas

I must have missed that thread, sorry. That's kind of what I was thinking too, but a couple of the models are still messing around at 500mb indicating the possibility of at least the presence of a vort max at landfall. The payoff - if nothing happens, I'll resurrect this thread and acknowledge a good call was made by you.

>>Something that I have learned over the years in not to bet on tropical cyclones.

LMAO. I don't either (at least not for money).

Steve

Agua · #20 Postby **Agua** » Fri Jun 24, 2005 9:27 am

cycloneye wrote:The tropics are full of surprises and betting on Cyclones may not be a good thing.

Isn't that the truth.

94L is up again

94L is up again

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