10:30 TWO: Surface Low Forms!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:
Contact dhweather

#21 Postby dhweather » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:01 pm

wxman57 wrote:Looks weaker this evening than earlier today. Convection really diminishing as of 10:30pm CDT. Just plotted ship/buoy/sfc reports in the region and don't see much there.


Can you get us a GARP screen shot? Pretty please?? :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
air360
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 447
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 3:48 pm
Location: Morehead City, NC
Contact:
Contact air360

#22 Postby air360 » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:02 pm

yea i agree hurricanefreak...over here near the coast we havnt had any real good action since floyd either...i think we had that one small system last season...but it was such a pathetic storm...it really irritated me...i had multiple friends and other families who had just moved here... so now they have the impression that hurricanes are really nothing more than a bunch of talk since the one they went through last season was such a pathetic storm......
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#23 Postby mobilebay » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:02 pm

dhweather wrote:
stormcloud wrote:Seems radar/sfc reports show another weak low near Key West Fl.


It does appear that way:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kbyx.shtml

Ive looked at Water Vapor and the ULL seems to be parked over the Extreme Northeast GOM. However, that looks like some kind of weak surface circulation that may have formed. :eek:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#24 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:02 pm

wxman57 wrote:Looks weaker this evening than earlier today. Convection really diminishing as of 10:30pm CDT. Just plotted ship/buoy/sfc reports in the region and don't see much there.



I agree
Image


:lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Radar
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 425
Joined: Fri Aug 27, 2004 11:04 pm
Location: Biloxi,MS

#25 Postby Radar » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:13 pm

I'm definately looking forward to a recon report to see if we will have Bret to track. IT doesnt look promising but we have been surprised more then once. I'm not betting the bank on it though!
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#26 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:14 pm

3 out of 4 Brets have formed in August.
0 likes   
Top
kevin

#27 Postby kevin » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:21 pm

Brets are not a category of tropical cyclones. They are just names.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#28 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:23 pm

Brets name was used on 4 tropical cyclones in the History of the Atlantic. The strongest was hurricane Bret of 1999. Also the only hurricane.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23080
Age: 68
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#29 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:23 pm

Here are a couple of new images. I have a 00Z surface plot (not many ship reports at 03Z) and a 4Z satellite. As you can see, the lowest pressure is near the northern Bahamas - well-removed from any convection. Convection is just about gone tonight. This thing won't likely do anything before it moves ashore.

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/disturb.gif">

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/disturb2.gif">
0 likes   
Top
kevin

#30 Postby kevin » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:25 pm

The storm doesn't care what you call it. If you're talking trivia, sure. If its used as any indicator as to what this system will do, I think that doesn't follow. :D
0 likes   
Top
kevin

#31 Postby kevin » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:25 pm

Very cool images!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#32 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:40 pm

kevin wrote:Very cool images!


Agree! Thank you wxman57.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#33 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 25, 2005 12:44 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 94L



INITIAL TIME 0Z JUN 25



DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT

REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD

NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC

OFFICIAL FORECAST.





FORECAST STORM POSITION



HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)



0 27.6 75.1 350./14.0

6 28.0 77.0 281./17.6

12 30.2 76.6 10./21.9

18 31.3 77.4 325./12.8

24 32.3 78.6 310./14.3

30 33.0 79.4 310./ 9.7

36 34.2 80.2 328./13.8

42 34.3 81.0 275./ 7.3

48 34.3 82.1 273./ 8.7

54 33.5 83.1 232./12.0



STORM DISSIPATED AT 54 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.
0 likes   
Top
weatherlover427

#34 Postby weatherlover427 » Sat Jun 25, 2005 2:28 am

Swimdude wrote:Yay for Atlantic catching up in the race vs. the EPAC. Hehehe...


:cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

#35 Postby tailgater » Sat Jun 25, 2005 2:59 am

cry baby :P
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TampaFl
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1905
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 11:23 am
Location: Tampa, FL

#36 Postby TampaFl » Sat Jun 25, 2005 5:31 am

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:I hope this is more than just rain. We always get stuck with the annoying rainmakers. Floyd was the last big thing here in Fayetteville. Come on Bret, give me some action.


Be very carefull for what you wish for.

Robert 8-)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NC George
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 635
Age: 55
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 11:44 am
Location: Washington, NC, USA

#37 Postby NC George » Sat Jun 25, 2005 11:33 am

I'm being tropically depressed already: I can't go four-wheeling today because it's already raining on the coastal area of NC where I want to go :cry:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:
Contact dhweather

#38 Postby dhweather » Sat Jun 25, 2005 2:23 pm

Thanks for the GARP screen shot!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Teban54 and 375 guests