Dhweather & Radar
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Dhweather & Radar
I'm going to send you rain from soaked South Florida. We had 10+ inches since early June we've finally had a sunny day today. I hope that ULL moves out so you guys and Texas get some rain.
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- vbhoutex
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Re: Dhweather & Radar
boca wrote:I'm going to send you rain from soaked South Florida. We had 10+ inches since early June we've finally had a sunny day today. I hope that ULL moves out so you guys and Texas get some rain.
All you're going to give us Texans is hope? You're sending rain to the others. Did we upset you?
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- southerngale
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cyclonaut
Re: Dhweather & Radar
Houston NWS is getting bored...
000
FXUS64 KHGX 261512
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1012 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005
.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS "LOCAL" 12Z SOUNDINGS NOT TOO DISSIMILAR TO THOSE FROM
YESTERDAY (SAVE FOR THE SLIGHTLY MORE PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL CAP @LCH)
ALONG WITH THE CURRENT RADAR LOOPS. AS SUCH...WILL LIKELY STICK WITH
THE GOING FORECAST (WHICH IS ALSO PRETTY MUCH THE SAME AS YESTERDAY)
WITH THE UPDATE. 41/45
&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HERE ARE JUNE RAINFALL TOTALS (IN INCHES) OVER THE PAST SIX YEARS
(2005 TOTALS ARE THROUGH JUNE 25TH):
CLL IAH GLS
2005 - 0.45 2005 - 0.08 2005 - 0.20
2004 - 11.75* 2004 - 18.33** 2004 - 10.99****
2003 - 6.64 2003 - 3.62 2003 - 6.65
2002 - 3.04 2002 - 4.54 2002 - 5.31
2001 - 6.31 2001 - 19.21*** 2001 - 10.25*****
2000 - 2.53 2000 - 3.29 2000 - 1.11
* - 3RD WETTEST CLL JUNE ON RECORD
** - 2ND WETTEST IAH JUNE ON RECORD
*** - 1ST WETTEST IAH JUNE ON RECORD
**** - 8TH WETTEST GLS JUNE ON RECORD
***** - 10TH WETTEST GLS JUNE ON RECORD
000
FXUS64 KHGX 261512
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1012 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005
.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS "LOCAL" 12Z SOUNDINGS NOT TOO DISSIMILAR TO THOSE FROM
YESTERDAY (SAVE FOR THE SLIGHTLY MORE PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL CAP @LCH)
ALONG WITH THE CURRENT RADAR LOOPS. AS SUCH...WILL LIKELY STICK WITH
THE GOING FORECAST (WHICH IS ALSO PRETTY MUCH THE SAME AS YESTERDAY)
WITH THE UPDATE. 41/45
&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HERE ARE JUNE RAINFALL TOTALS (IN INCHES) OVER THE PAST SIX YEARS
(2005 TOTALS ARE THROUGH JUNE 25TH):
CLL IAH GLS
2005 - 0.45 2005 - 0.08 2005 - 0.20
2004 - 11.75* 2004 - 18.33** 2004 - 10.99****
2003 - 6.64 2003 - 3.62 2003 - 6.65
2002 - 3.04 2002 - 4.54 2002 - 5.31
2001 - 6.31 2001 - 19.21*** 2001 - 10.25*****
2000 - 2.53 2000 - 3.29 2000 - 1.11
* - 3RD WETTEST CLL JUNE ON RECORD
** - 2ND WETTEST IAH JUNE ON RECORD
*** - 1ST WETTEST IAH JUNE ON RECORD
**** - 8TH WETTEST GLS JUNE ON RECORD
***** - 10TH WETTEST GLS JUNE ON RECORD
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Re: Dhweather & Radar
Houston NWS is getting bored...
000
FXUS64 KHGX 261512
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1012 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005
.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS "LOCAL" 12Z SOUNDINGS NOT TOO DISSIMILAR TO THOSE FROM
YESTERDAY (SAVE FOR THE SLIGHTLY MORE PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL CAP @LCH)
ALONG WITH THE CURRENT RADAR LOOPS. AS SUCH...WILL LIKELY STICK WITH
THE GOING FORECAST (WHICH IS ALSO PRETTY MUCH THE SAME AS YESTERDAY)
WITH THE UPDATE. 41/45
&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HERE ARE JUNE RAINFALL TOTALS (IN INCHES) OVER THE PAST SIX YEARS
(2005 TOTALS ARE THROUGH JUNE 25TH):
CLL IAH GLS
2005 - 0.45 2005 - 0.08 2005 - 0.20
2004 - 11.75* 2004 - 18.33** 2004 - 10.99****
2003 - 6.64 2003 - 3.62 2003 - 6.65
2002 - 3.04 2002 - 4.54 2002 - 5.31
2001 - 6.31 2001 - 19.21*** 2001 - 10.25*****
2000 - 2.53 2000 - 3.29 2000 - 1.11
* - 3RD WETTEST CLL JUNE ON RECORD
** - 2ND WETTEST IAH JUNE ON RECORD
*** - 1ST WETTEST IAH JUNE ON RECORD
**** - 8TH WETTEST GLS JUNE ON RECORD
***** - 10TH WETTEST GLS JUNE ON RECORD
000
FXUS64 KHGX 261512
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1012 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005
.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS "LOCAL" 12Z SOUNDINGS NOT TOO DISSIMILAR TO THOSE FROM
YESTERDAY (SAVE FOR THE SLIGHTLY MORE PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL CAP @LCH)
ALONG WITH THE CURRENT RADAR LOOPS. AS SUCH...WILL LIKELY STICK WITH
THE GOING FORECAST (WHICH IS ALSO PRETTY MUCH THE SAME AS YESTERDAY)
WITH THE UPDATE. 41/45
&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HERE ARE JUNE RAINFALL TOTALS (IN INCHES) OVER THE PAST SIX YEARS
(2005 TOTALS ARE THROUGH JUNE 25TH):
CLL IAH GLS
2005 - 0.45 2005 - 0.08 2005 - 0.20
2004 - 11.75* 2004 - 18.33** 2004 - 10.99****
2003 - 6.64 2003 - 3.62 2003 - 6.65
2002 - 3.04 2002 - 4.54 2002 - 5.31
2001 - 6.31 2001 - 19.21*** 2001 - 10.25*****
2000 - 2.53 2000 - 3.29 2000 - 1.11
* - 3RD WETTEST CLL JUNE ON RECORD
** - 2ND WETTEST IAH JUNE ON RECORD
*** - 1ST WETTEST IAH JUNE ON RECORD
**** - 8TH WETTEST GLS JUNE ON RECORD
***** - 10TH WETTEST GLS JUNE ON RECORD
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The New Orleans AFD is weird and wordy:
FXUS64 KLIX 260911
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
410 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005
.DISCUSSION...
NOCTURNAL CONVECTION UNDERWAY IN THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA IN RESPONSE TO
ENERGY IN DEFORMATION ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH RETROGRADING UPPER LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. STORMS DEVELOPED RATHER QUICKLY IN LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
UNDER THE COLD POOL LIKELY DUE TO LAND BREEZE MECHANISM AROUND LAKES
PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. A WIND GUST OF 38 KT (44 MPH) WAS NOTED AT LAKEFRONT
AIRPORT AT 203 AM CDT...WHICH WAS CLOSE TO THE ONSET OF THE THUNDERSTORM.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHEAR ZONE OVER THE AREA WITH DEFORMATION WRAPAROUND
TO OUR NORTH AND STRETCH VORTICITY BANDING ALONG THE GULF COAST WITH PERHAPS
A SMALL SPEED MAX OVE THE NEW ORLEANS AREA TO AID IN OMEGA. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER
LOW PRESSURE AREA IS NOTED OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WITH DEEP LAYERED AND
BROAD WESTERLIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF. THIS PATTERN WOULD
SUGGEST A BACK-BUILDING TENDENCY WITH CONVECTION TODAY...WESTWARD MOVEMENT BUT
EASTWARD PROPAGATION. THIS WILL HAVE TO WATCHED CLOSELY...BUT COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION SHOULD NOT BE ANY MORE THAN THE ADVERTISED 30 PERCENT FOR TODAY. WILL
MAINTAIN THIS NOTION FOR TODAY THEN RUN 20 PERCENT EACH PERIOD FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AS IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO RULE OUT NOCTURNAL CONVECTION EACH NIGHT.
RAN THE PCPN CALCULATOR OFF THE GFS 00Z RUN AT 06Z...12Z...00Z FOR THE NEW
ORLEANS AREA USING MOST UNSTABLE LIFT. THE 18Z RUN SHOWS 344K LIFTED
FROM 864 MB YIELDS A 37% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH RAINFALL 3.84"...POTENTIAL
OF 5.41" BELOW SURFACE TEMPS OF 75F. NO SEVERE THREAT IS NOTED WITH WIND GUST
POTENTIAL OF ONLY 15 KT AND A VIL OF 80 NEEDED FOR PENNY HAIL. RADAR ALREADY
CONFIRMED IN EXCESS OF 2" ALREADY OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE WITH THIS
MORNING'S HIGH EFFICIENCY RAINFALL. BRIEF HEAVY IS POSSIBLE AND MOVEMENT SHOULD
ALLOW FOR GOOD DISTRIBUTION OF TOTAL RAINFALL...BUT WILL NEED TO BE ALERT TO
POSSIBLE BACK BUILDING...AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED.
BEYOND TODAY...A SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL CHANCE OF RAIN EACH DAY AS SEA-BREEZE
IS NOT FULLY STEADY STATE GIVEN THE PERSISTENT UPPER TROUGHINESS...BUT THIS
PATTERN WILL EVOLVE TO A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME SITUATION BY WEEK'S END.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 91 68 91 69 / 20 20 20 20
BTR 92 70 92 71 / 30 20 20 20
MSY 91 75 91 76 / 30 20 20 20
GPT 91 72 91 73 / 30 20 20 20
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
SE LA AND MS COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
FXUS64 KLIX 260911
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
410 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005
.DISCUSSION...
NOCTURNAL CONVECTION UNDERWAY IN THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA IN RESPONSE TO
ENERGY IN DEFORMATION ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH RETROGRADING UPPER LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. STORMS DEVELOPED RATHER QUICKLY IN LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
UNDER THE COLD POOL LIKELY DUE TO LAND BREEZE MECHANISM AROUND LAKES
PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS. A WIND GUST OF 38 KT (44 MPH) WAS NOTED AT LAKEFRONT
AIRPORT AT 203 AM CDT...WHICH WAS CLOSE TO THE ONSET OF THE THUNDERSTORM.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHEAR ZONE OVER THE AREA WITH DEFORMATION WRAPAROUND
TO OUR NORTH AND STRETCH VORTICITY BANDING ALONG THE GULF COAST WITH PERHAPS
A SMALL SPEED MAX OVE THE NEW ORLEANS AREA TO AID IN OMEGA. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER
LOW PRESSURE AREA IS NOTED OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WITH DEEP LAYERED AND
BROAD WESTERLIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF. THIS PATTERN WOULD
SUGGEST A BACK-BUILDING TENDENCY WITH CONVECTION TODAY...WESTWARD MOVEMENT BUT
EASTWARD PROPAGATION. THIS WILL HAVE TO WATCHED CLOSELY...BUT COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION SHOULD NOT BE ANY MORE THAN THE ADVERTISED 30 PERCENT FOR TODAY. WILL
MAINTAIN THIS NOTION FOR TODAY THEN RUN 20 PERCENT EACH PERIOD FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AS IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO RULE OUT NOCTURNAL CONVECTION EACH NIGHT.
RAN THE PCPN CALCULATOR OFF THE GFS 00Z RUN AT 06Z...12Z...00Z FOR THE NEW
ORLEANS AREA USING MOST UNSTABLE LIFT. THE 18Z RUN SHOWS 344K LIFTED
FROM 864 MB YIELDS A 37% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH RAINFALL 3.84"...POTENTIAL
OF 5.41" BELOW SURFACE TEMPS OF 75F. NO SEVERE THREAT IS NOTED WITH WIND GUST
POTENTIAL OF ONLY 15 KT AND A VIL OF 80 NEEDED FOR PENNY HAIL. RADAR ALREADY
CONFIRMED IN EXCESS OF 2" ALREADY OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE WITH THIS
MORNING'S HIGH EFFICIENCY RAINFALL. BRIEF HEAVY IS POSSIBLE AND MOVEMENT SHOULD
ALLOW FOR GOOD DISTRIBUTION OF TOTAL RAINFALL...BUT WILL NEED TO BE ALERT TO
POSSIBLE BACK BUILDING...AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED.
BEYOND TODAY...A SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL CHANCE OF RAIN EACH DAY AS SEA-BREEZE
IS NOT FULLY STEADY STATE GIVEN THE PERSISTENT UPPER TROUGHINESS...BUT THIS
PATTERN WILL EVOLVE TO A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME SITUATION BY WEEK'S END.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 91 68 91 69 / 20 20 20 20
BTR 92 70 92 71 / 30 20 20 20
MSY 91 75 91 76 / 30 20 20 20
GPT 91 72 91 73 / 30 20 20 20
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
SE LA AND MS COASTAL WATERS...NONE.
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jlauderdal
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 7240
- Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
- Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
- Contact:
Re: Dhweather & Radar
boca wrote:I'm going to send you rain from soaked South Florida. We had 10+ inches since early June we've finally had a sunny day today. I hope that ULL moves out so you guys and Texas get some rain.
two straight days by the pool since memorial day..nuff said
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