Moisture headed for Texas/La
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Moisture headed for Texas/La
The trough over the Yucatan should move NW and the Upper High should follow. I think it has a decent chance to develop, let's see if any models jump on it.
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Next threat for tropical development will GOM for the upcoming week if the wind shear lessens.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
We are in worse shape here on the S.W. coast of Louisiana concerning the horrible rain deficit. My greatest concern will be fires sparked off on the 4th July weekend as a result. Our lawns are dying and the grass crunches as you walk on it. Being on a water well I can't overtask my well to give my lawn a deep watering daily so I'm just watching it die. Looking on the bright side it has kept the mosquitoes down to a minumum so far.
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- PTrackerLA
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Couple of things...
I'm not sure if I agree with them, but the 6/27/05 00Z runs of the GFS and NAM bring the bulk of the rainfall into the western Panhandle. The Gulf was bound to see something this week whether it was going to be just a surge and return to a tropical airmass over the SE or if maybe something was going to form, the proverbial handwriting was on the wall. The northern portion of that wave was partially responsible for 94L. The southern side still needed to be contended with one way or the other. With the slow development and pulsing going on in the EPAC, I wouldn't be looking for anything major. But as always, I'll take anything I can get.
Here are the models:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/
As for the drough, here's the shorterm graphic covering the last 8 weeks. This should be updated by Wed.:
http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/thumbnails/12_week.gif
Steve
I'm not sure if I agree with them, but the 6/27/05 00Z runs of the GFS and NAM bring the bulk of the rainfall into the western Panhandle. The Gulf was bound to see something this week whether it was going to be just a surge and return to a tropical airmass over the SE or if maybe something was going to form, the proverbial handwriting was on the wall. The northern portion of that wave was partially responsible for 94L. The southern side still needed to be contended with one way or the other. With the slow development and pulsing going on in the EPAC, I wouldn't be looking for anything major. But as always, I'll take anything I can get.
Here are the models:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/
As for the drough, here's the shorterm graphic covering the last 8 weeks. This should be updated by Wed.:
http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/thumbnails/12_week.gif
Steve
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- Yankeegirl
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