http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
IMO, shear isn't too hostile ahead of it. So what's it going to do?
Interesting Blob Off Africa This Evening
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148503
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 01&start=0
Above is thread about the models at long range.I dont think that one will be what GFS and MM5 show but we will see.
Above is thread about the models at long range.I dont think that one will be what GFS and MM5 show but we will see.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Scorpion
-
Guest
Re: Interesting Blob Off Africa This Evening
abajan wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
IMO, shear isn't too hostile ahead of it. So what's it going to do?
No, there shear is letting up and upper level conditions are favourable. See my post with links at http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=65331
P.S. Missed you in Grenada last year abajan!
0 likes
-
hurricanetrack
- HurricaneTrack.com
- Posts: 1781
- Joined: Tue Dec 02, 2003 10:46 pm
- Location: Wilmington, NC
- Contact:
One name: Bertha
Straight from the NHC archives:
"Bertha originated from a tropical wave which moved from Africa to the Atlantic on 1 July."
We are not too far from the 1st of July and the GFS is seeing something form closer to the 1st of July. Normally we should just sit back and laugh- but water temps in the deep tropics are anything but normal. So, we might have to at least consider the possibility of another early CV storm. Beyond that, it's just a waiting game.
"Bertha originated from a tropical wave which moved from Africa to the Atlantic on 1 July."
We are not too far from the 1st of July and the GFS is seeing something form closer to the 1st of July. Normally we should just sit back and laugh- but water temps in the deep tropics are anything but normal. So, we might have to at least consider the possibility of another early CV storm. Beyond that, it's just a waiting game.
0 likes
-
george_r_1961
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3171
- Age: 64
- Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
- Location: Carbondale, Pennsylvania
Warm SST's are one of many things you have to have to get a tropical cyclone. The water could be boiling and conditions could still be unfavorable. Shear..even light shear..can kill off an incipient TC. Dry air (yes there is dry air over water) will prevent development as well. IMHO the curtain will rise on the Cape Verde show a little early this year..possibly in a couple of weeks as conditions out there become more favorable. But right now I think any development is unlikely.
0 likes
-
jlauderdal
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 7240
- Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
- Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
- Contact:
Re: Interesting Blob Off Africa This Evening
abajan wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
IMO, shear isn't too hostile ahead of it. So what's it going to do?
Devil Rays have a better shot of winning the world series then this thing doing anything.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: chaser1 and 571 guests