For you JB fans. He has some interest in the area around 18/92 near the Mexican coast this morning. He thinks there might be the beginings of a circulation there. I'm at work on a dial up so I haven't had a chance to look a good loop yet but here's a pretty good still close up.
http://www.tceq.state.tx.us/assets/publ ... atest.jpeg
He expects that if anything develops that it would move NW into the western GOM. I know there's not a lot of JB fans here so don't shoot the messenger, just trying to stir up a little interest this morning.
I guess the idea is the upper low arond BRO is moving off to the west which should allow some ridging to build in over the west GOM and conditions might be becoming more favorable for development.
Anyway something to watch.
BOC/Yucatan
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BOC/Yucatan
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Stormcenter
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Stormcenter
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greg_kfdm_tv
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Looking at high resolution visible satellite images, there appears to be a weak low to mid level twist near 18.5/91.6 just inland over Mexico. Motion is slowly to the northwest and it should emerge over the extreme southern BOC later this evening.
High pressure in the upper levels is still quite strong over Texas and that ridge should suppress whatever might develop south of Texas into Mexico.
We could sure use the rain locally...the driest year so far in the 26 years I have been forecasting in Southeast Texas.
High pressure in the upper levels is still quite strong over Texas and that ridge should suppress whatever might develop south of Texas into Mexico.
We could sure use the rain locally...the driest year so far in the 26 years I have been forecasting in Southeast Texas.
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GalvestonDuck
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PTrackerLA
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I sure wish something weak could develop and bring the NW gulf coast alot of rain, we sure could use it. The rainfall deficits we have simply won't be made up with normal summer rainfall and below normal rains were forecasted for the rest of the summer last time I checked. We really need a tropical system to break us out of this drought. I'll be out of town for 2 weeks starting Thursday so expect some sort of system in the gulf during that time (just because of my luck 
).
Edit: too caught up complaining about no rain I forgot to comment on the system
. Sure does look like a interesting spin getting ready to enter the BOC with some decent convection associated with it. Let's see if it can hold together over the next 24 hours and we might have something here.
).
Edit: too caught up complaining about no rain I forgot to comment on the system
. Sure does look like a interesting spin getting ready to enter the BOC with some decent convection associated with it. Let's see if it can hold together over the next 24 hours and we might have something here.
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x-y-no
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greg_kfdm_tv wrote:Looking at high resolution visible satellite images, there appears to be a weak low to mid level twist near 18.5/91.6 just inland over Mexico. Motion is slowly to the northwest and it should emerge over the extreme southern BOC later this evening.
High pressure in the upper levels is still quite strong over Texas and that ridge should suppress whatever might develop south of Texas into Mexico.
We could sure use the rain locally...the driest year so far in the 26 years I have been forecasting in Southeast Texas.
Hey! A new pro met on the board!
Welcome, Greg. Looking forward to your input.
Jan
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MGC
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The entire GOM is a mess this afternoon. Yes, looks to be some kind of weak circulation near the Mexican coast in the BOC. Ridge over Texas should stear it into Mexico though. Following the wave axis further north, numerous showers stretch from the Yucatan Channel to the central GOM. These showers look to be drifting NW along with the wave. Hopefully this precipt will make its way into the N GOM and provide some drought relief......MGC
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PTrackerLA
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No pressure drops at the surface yet but it sure looks juicy.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055
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