Tropical Depression Calvin
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
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By the way, I know no one cares, but Calvin is officially gone!
Tropical Depression Calvin Discussion Number 10
Statement as of 8:00 PM PDT on June 28, 2005
visible satellite imagery indicates that Calvin has degenerated to a
cloud swirl embedded within a larger elongated area of low
pressure. While there is sporadic convection within the larger low
and in the vicinity of Calvin...there is insufficient organization
to consider this a tropical cyclone. Therefore...this will be the
last advisory on Calvin.
The initial motion is 235/5...as Calvin appears to be rotating
counter-clockwise within the broader low. A continued turn to the
south or even southeast is possible as the remnant circulation
dissipates.
Forecaster Franklin
forecast positions and Max winds
initial 29/0300z 14.8n 105.3w 20 kt...dissipating
12hr VT 29/1200z 14.1n 106.1w 20 kt...remnant low
24hr VT 30/0000z 13.3n 106.8w 20 kt...remnant low
36hr VT 30/1200z 12.5n 106.5w 20 kt...remnant low
48hr VT 01/0000z...dissipated
Tropical Depression Calvin Forecast/Advisory Number 10
Statement as of 03:00Z on June 29, 2005
tropical depression center located near 14.8n 105.3w at 29/0300z
position accurate within 45 nm
present movement toward the southwest or 235 degrees at 5 kt
estimated minimum central pressure 1006 mb
Max sustained winds 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat...center located near 14.8n 105.3w at 29/0300z
at 29/0000z center was located near 15.0n 105.0w
forecast valid 29/1200z 14.1n 106.1w...remnant low
Max wind 20 kt...gusts 30 kt.
Forecast valid 30/0000z 13.3n 106.8w...remnant low
Max wind 20 kt...gusts 30 kt.
Forecast valid 30/1200z 12.5n 106.5w...remnant low
Max wind 20 kt...gusts 30 kt.
Forecast valid 01/0000z...dissipated
extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 200 nm
on day 4 and 250 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day
outlook valid 03/0000z...dissipated
request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 14.8n 105.3w
this is the last forecast/advisory issued by the
National Hurricane Center on this system
forecaster Franklin
Tropical Depression Calvin Discussion Number 10
Statement as of 8:00 PM PDT on June 28, 2005
visible satellite imagery indicates that Calvin has degenerated to a
cloud swirl embedded within a larger elongated area of low
pressure. While there is sporadic convection within the larger low
and in the vicinity of Calvin...there is insufficient organization
to consider this a tropical cyclone. Therefore...this will be the
last advisory on Calvin.
The initial motion is 235/5...as Calvin appears to be rotating
counter-clockwise within the broader low. A continued turn to the
south or even southeast is possible as the remnant circulation
dissipates.
Forecaster Franklin
forecast positions and Max winds
initial 29/0300z 14.8n 105.3w 20 kt...dissipating
12hr VT 29/1200z 14.1n 106.1w 20 kt...remnant low
24hr VT 30/0000z 13.3n 106.8w 20 kt...remnant low
36hr VT 30/1200z 12.5n 106.5w 20 kt...remnant low
48hr VT 01/0000z...dissipated
Tropical Depression Calvin Forecast/Advisory Number 10
Statement as of 03:00Z on June 29, 2005
tropical depression center located near 14.8n 105.3w at 29/0300z
position accurate within 45 nm
present movement toward the southwest or 235 degrees at 5 kt
estimated minimum central pressure 1006 mb
Max sustained winds 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat...center located near 14.8n 105.3w at 29/0300z
at 29/0000z center was located near 15.0n 105.0w
forecast valid 29/1200z 14.1n 106.1w...remnant low
Max wind 20 kt...gusts 30 kt.
Forecast valid 30/0000z 13.3n 106.8w...remnant low
Max wind 20 kt...gusts 30 kt.
Forecast valid 30/1200z 12.5n 106.5w...remnant low
Max wind 20 kt...gusts 30 kt.
Forecast valid 01/0000z...dissipated
extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 200 nm
on day 4 and 250 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day
outlook valid 03/0000z...dissipated
request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 14.8n 105.3w
this is the last forecast/advisory issued by the
National Hurricane Center on this system
forecaster Franklin
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