Low forming at mouth of Miss. river?

[rolltide]

Check out the radar loop.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml

[skysummit]

I dont' know if it's a low forming, but the clouds definately have that "tropical look" this morning in deep SELA. If there is any low, I think it's pretty much over land because the showers just to the SE of me are moving SW to NE and the showers just to my north are moving NE to SW.

[Stormcenter]

Hard to tell but I do see a slight twist on the satellite loop (link below).

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Steve]

Yeah. Not sure what level it's at, but it's definitely coming together. I'd expect that thing to track off to the NE and plague GA and the Carolinas with even more rain.

Btw dhweather, you still wanting a few showers?

Steve

[Johnny]

ULL?

[GalvestonDuck]

Is it just me, or does anyone else here (especially those also in the Hou/Galv area) look at the water vapor loop and see a big orange dry dust cloud hovering over us when you look at it? http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Is it weakening at all? I see a tiny shower popping up in the GOM closer to the TX coast, but not much.

[vbhoutex]

No that is tons of dry air and it is strengthening, not weakening unfortunately. That little pop up out there will never get near us.

Even your WV loop shows the "low" forming just NE of the MR mouth. I believe that was progged to happen in some other threads and indeed it appears to be happening. Most areas affected by this system will be areas that already have had plenty of rain, except for a few areas along the MS if I remember correctly(who has and hasn't had rain).

[Johnny]

Yep, you might as well wipe out the rain chances here in Southeast, Texas for the remainder of the week and by the way...it is gonna get real hot!!! Saturday and into Sunday it looks like we will get a bit more moist so hopefully a chance of rain will follow.

Well Jeff Lindner just pointed something out GalvestonDuck. That shower/thunderstorm you are talking is actually part of a surface low pressure system that has formed 105 miles Southeast of Matagorda Bay. You can clearly see the swirl on the visible sat. loop.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[vbhoutex]

Yep, it is definitely there. I guess I should check my email more often. Someone did mention that swirl last night somewhere in the talkin' tropics forum. Unfortunately for us in Houston it will be steered away from our area and "landfall" more towards the central TX Gulf coast(they need rain too).

[Portastorm]

vb, I could gripe about our 7th driest June on record ... but you guys in SE Texas have it even worse. Regardless sure hope we get some rain soon. You know how these hot, dry summers build upon themselves down here ... I'd hate to think what our lawns would look like come August.

[vbhoutex]

vb, I could gripe about our 7th driest June on record ... but you guys in SE Texas have it even worse. Regardless sure hope we get some rain soon. You know how these hot, dry summers build upon themselves down here ... I'd hate to think what our lawns would look like come August.

Exactly!!! and I don't want to think about what it may take to break the drought either. That has already been discussed previously in other threads. Hopefully we can break this with some good soaking rains without the usual associated severe type of weather, tropical or otherwise(but nothing looms on the horizon except dry air).

[BC]

Btw dhweather, you still wanting a few showers?

Steve

I don't know about him, but I think I got enough last night..

Man that was a light show.. I was looking out my bedroom door and could have swore lightning struck in my backyard, but then there was no thunder.. Then I started freaking out about the new patio set I got with an umbrella, wondering if the umbrella would act as a lightning rod and torch my deck..

I was like this all night..

[MGC]

Sure does look like some kind of circulation is developing over SE La. Finally got some rain over here on the Miss coast.....MGC

[skysummit]

What ever it is, it seems to be slowly drifing East. The image below shows where I think the appx. "center" is. (the image is static, it will not update)

[Stormcenter]

NWS out of N.O. mentions it.

DISCUSSION...
CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING SOME GLITCHES WITH THE SYSTEM THAT HAS CAUSED SOME DELAYS
SO WILL BE BRIEF. MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM IS TROPICAL CONVECTION TAKING
PLACE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST WHERE DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED CONVERGENCE IS
FORCING CONVECTION TO HANG ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST BETWEEN WAVELAND AND
BILOXI. KGPT MEASURED 3.40 INCHES OF RAINFALL SINCE 1 AM WITH +RA CONTINUING.
IR IMAGERY SHOWS TOPS COOLING AND BACK-BUILDING INTO LAKE BORGNE. A WEAK AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE IS ALSO INDICATED OVER THE CHANDELEUR ISLANDS AND SHOULD ALLOW
RAINS TO PERSIST INTO THE MID-MORNING HOURS. RAN THE PRECIPITATION CALCULATOR
OFF THE 00Z KSIL SOUNDING AND IT SHOWED A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN WITH AMOUNT 2.72"
...POTENTIAL PRECIPITATION 4.85" FOR TEMPS BELOW 78F. KGPT TEMP IS AT 75F SO THIS
POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY BE REALIZED BEFORE THE FAUCET TURNS OFF.

[dhweather]

Yeah. Not sure what level it's at, but it's definitely coming together. I'd expect that thing to track off to the NE and plague GA and the Carolinas with even more rain.

Btw dhweather, you still wanting a few showers?

Steve

Man, keep it coming! Better to need it and have it than need it
and not!

[Stormcenter]

Looks like the center of circulation is over Western N.O.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml

[Stormcenter]

Here is another view of the weak low.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Interesting LLC off to the East of Texas. If that where to form convection who knows...

[Opal storm]

Interesting LLC off to the East of Texas. If that where to form convection who knows...

I saw on TWC Steve Lyons said nothing is going to happen with that,no rain for Texas unfortunately.