33W/8N, Any Chance?

TS Zack · #21 Postby **TS Zack** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 5:21 pm

That was me, I was not talking about the Atlantic Wave. The Eastern Caribbean Wave will work into the Western Gulf by next week.

A wave, nothing more, nothing less. No need to panic.

cind52 · #22 Postby **cind52** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 6:16 pm

TS Zack wrote:That was me, I was not talking about the Atlantic Wave. The Eastern Caribbean Wave will work into the Western Gulf by next week.

A wave, nothing more, nothing less. No need to panic.

Sorry!!! Should not post if I'm not sure of facts.

#23 Postby **Lowpressure** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 7:01 pm

Do not see this one materializing.

#24 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 7:15 pm

EAST ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 35W S OF 19N MOVING W ABOUT 15
KT. THE WAVE IS BROAD BUT WELL-DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH
CYCLONIC TURNING OBSERVED IN THE LOW CLOUDS N OF THE WAVE WHERE
THE ATMOSPHERE IS RATHER DRY...AND A NWD INFLECTION OF ITCZ
CONVECTION NOTED BEHIND THE WAVE. THE SIGNATURE HAS A GOOD
HISTORY IN UPPER AIR DATA FROM BAMAKO (00Z JUNE 26)...DAKAR (00Z
JUNE 27)...AND SAL (AROUND 00Z JUNE 28) WHICH SUPPORTS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN ITS CURRENT POSITION. THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH LIKE
THIS WAVE AND DEVELOP LOW PRES OVER THE CNTRL ATLC
WATERS...BRINGING IT 150-350 NM NE OF THE NRN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN
5 DAYS. THE NOGAPS LAGS A BIT FROM THIS WITH A LOW ABOUT 700 NM
E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES AT 5 DAYS. HOWEVER...THE GFS ENSEMBLE
REMAINS CONSERVATIVE BY SHOWING A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE WITH NO
LOW APPROACHING THE ISLANDS. GIVEN THIS FACT AND THAT IT IS
STILL EARLY FOR THE CAPE VERDE SEASON TO START...THERE IS STILL
TIME TO WATCH THIS WAVE IN THE COMING DAYS. ISOLATED
SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 30W-40W.

Intersting discussion about this wave at 8:05 PM discussion.

#25 Postby **dhweather** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 7:47 pm

That is rather interesting Luis - we will have to watch and wait.

Derek Ortt · #26 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 8:52 pm

tonight is a good reason why we are not releasing any high res MM5 runs yet. Output is totally illogical (probably because I ran it at a higher resolution than I would have liked to get a alrger domain in for the time being, before we make a system upgrade next week)

No, I am not going to comment further

#27 Postby **dhweather** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 9:53 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:tonight is a good reason why we are not releasing any high res MM5 runs yet. Output is totally illogical (probably because I ran it at a higher resolution than I would have liked to get a alrger domain in for the time being, before we make a system upgrade next week)

o, I am not going to comment further

Not even if it's a hardware or software upgrade?

I'm just curious what hardware you run mm5 on?

Derek Ortt · #28 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 10:10 pm

we're getting a much faster server. Currently running it on a linux server, the new one, I believe, is also linux, but 4X as fast, menaing I can run this properly

Derek Ortt · #29 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 10:11 pm

we also run it at a far higher resolution than FSU does, which is why it is slower

#30 Postby **dhweather** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 10:13 pm

Is mm5 open source code?

I can run it *real* fast in granular resolutions.

Derek Ortt · #31 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 10:16 pm

cannot have our hurricane version of the model... copyrighted by UM. Sorry about that (its different from the normal version... check out the extended abstract from melecie desflots at the 04 ams hurricane conference for more info, though the domain resolutions have since been increased)

#32 Postby **dhweather** » Wed Jun 29, 2005 10:18 pm

I'll have to take a peek - thanks!

33W/8N, Any Chance?

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