CENTRAL ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 40W S OF 23N MOVING W 10-15
KT. THE WAVE CURRENTLY HAS A COMPLEX STRUCTURE AS IT APPEARS THE
SFC/LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS DISPLACED ABOUT 300-350 NM TO THE W
OF THE MID-LEVEL VORT MAX. THE ITCZ CONTINUES TO BE INFLECTED
ALONG A SW/NE LINE ACROSS THE WAVE AXIS AND A LARGE AREA OF DRY
STABLE AIR LIES TO THE W ALL THE WAY TO THE LESSER ANTILLES.
THIS WILL INDUCE SPECTACULAR WEATHER OVER THE WINDWARD AND
LEEWARD ISLANDS THRU THE WEEKEND BEFORE SHOWERS/TSTMS BEGIN TO
INCREASE SUN NIGHT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE WAVE. AS FAR AS
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT...ALL NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE BACKED
OFF CONSIDERABLY IN FORMING A STRONG SFC LOW AND INSTEAD SHOW A
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED WAVE CROSSING THE ISLANDS ON MON.
The above is discussion of 8:05 PM EDT.
Looks like plenty of rain for the islands but nothing more.
Will a invest be up for Tropical Atlantic Wave or not?
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- cycloneye
- Admin

- Posts: 148503
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
I went to the Accuweather home page (popup blocker in effect of course) to see what the "peek inside Joe's column" teaser had to say. It reads:
IMPLICATIONS ARE FOR A TROPICAL STORM OR A HURRICANE BETWEEN BERMUDA AND PUERTO RICO NEXT WEEK...
So there are 'implications.' I don't pay for the column, so I'm going to assume he's saying that there's a pretty good chance at a tropical storm or hurricane east of the SE US Coast. I realize some models want to send a reinforcing shot of high pressure from the US and other models open up a weakness there. They are at least partially playing up a threat. A lot of other people have already commented on that particular wave, so it's not like he's pulling this one out of a pattern or anything. But it's on the record for future reference.
Steve
IMPLICATIONS ARE FOR A TROPICAL STORM OR A HURRICANE BETWEEN BERMUDA AND PUERTO RICO NEXT WEEK...
So there are 'implications.' I don't pay for the column, so I'm going to assume he's saying that there's a pretty good chance at a tropical storm or hurricane east of the SE US Coast. I realize some models want to send a reinforcing shot of high pressure from the US and other models open up a weakness there. They are at least partially playing up a threat. A lot of other people have already commented on that particular wave, so it's not like he's pulling this one out of a pattern or anything. But it's on the record for future reference.
Steve
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: chaser1, cheezyWXguy and 531 guests



