MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY

[HURAKAN]

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT FRI JULY 1 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORMS ARLENE AND BRET FORMED DURING THE MONTH OF JUNE. IN
ONLY TWELVE PREVIOUS YEARS SINCE 1851...MOST RECENTLY IN
1986...HAVE TWO OR MORE TROPICAL STORMS FORMED IN THE MONTH OF
JUNE.

ARLENE FORMED 8 JUNE NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS AND
BECAME A TROPICAL STORM ON THE 9TH ABOUT 170 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF GRAND CAYMAN. ARLENE MOVED SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITH STEADY
INTENSIFICATION AND CROSSED WESTERN CUBA NEAR CABO CORRIENTES WITH
WINDS OF 50 MPH. THE STORM CONTINUED NORTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO WHERE IT REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY OF 70 MPH.
THEREAFTER...ARLENE WEAKENED AND MADE LANDFALL VERY NEAR PENSACOLA
FLORIDA WITH 60 MPH WINDS. THE CYCLONE CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT
MOVED NORTHWARD FARTHER INLAND AND WAS ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM
ON 14 JUNE OVER SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. ONE STUDENT DIED IN A RIP
CURRENT TRIGGERED BY ARLENE AT MIAMI BEACH FLORIDA. THE DAMAGE
CAUSED BY ARLENE WAS MINIMAL.

TROPICAL STORM BRET ORIGINATED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND A WEAK AREA
OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE THAT CROSSED CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM 24-27 JUNE. ON THE 28TH...THE
ASSOCIATED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER BECAME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMED LATER THAT DAY
ABOUT 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO. THE CYCLONE QUICKLY
STRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM. BRET MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AND MADE LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR TUXPAN EARLY ON 29
JUNE WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 MPH IN A VERY SMALL AREA NEAR THE
CENTER. THE SYSTEM DISSIPATED OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO LATER
THAT SAME DAY. BRET PRODUCED FLOODING IN THE STATE OF
VERACRUZ...WHERE POLICE WERE REPORTEDLY SEARCHING FOR THE OCCUPANTS
OF A VEHICLE SWEPT AWAY BY FLOOD WATERS IN THE TOWN OF NARANJOS.

AVILA/PASCH

SUMMARY TABLE

NAME DATES MAX WIND DEATHS U.S. DAMAGE
MPH $MILLION
----------------------------------------------------------
TS ARLENE 8-13 JUN 70 1

TS BRET 28-29 JUN 40
----------------------------------------------------------
NOTE...DATES BASED ON COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (UTC)
*

FORECASTER AVILA

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI JUL 1 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

TWO TROPICAL CYCLONES...TROPICAL STORMS BEATRIZ AND CALVIN...FORMED
DURING THE MONTH OF JUNE.

BEATRIZ DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE...BECOMING A DEPRESSION ON
THE 21ST ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. THE CYCLONE
STRENGTHENED SLOWLY AS IT MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL OFFSHORE THE
MEXICAN COAST...BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM ON THE 22ND AND REACHING
ITS PEAK INTENSITY OF 45 KT EARLY ON THE 23RD. EASTERLY WIND SHEAR
HALTED DEVELOPMENT AND BEATRIZ WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION OVER COOL
WATERS EARLY ON THE 24TH. THE CYCLONE DEGENERATED TO A NON-
CONVECTIVE REMANT LOW LATER THAT DAY ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO...AND DISSIPATED TWO DAYS LATER.

CALVIN DEVELOPED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE THAT CROSSED CENTRAL AMERICA
AROUND 21 JUNE. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WAVE MOVED SLOWLY WESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF EASTERN MEXICO FOR A FEW
DAYS...WITH UNSTEADY DEVELOPMENT. FINALLY ON 26 JUNE A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FORMED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. IT BECAME
A TROPICAL STORM EARLY ON THE 27TH AND REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY
OF 45 KT LATER THAT DAY. SIMILAR TO BEATRIZ...THE DEVELOPMENT
TREND WAS REVERSED BY EASTERLY WIND SHEAR. CALVIN WEAKENED TO A
DEPRESSION ON THE 28TH AND DEGENERATED INTO A LOW CLOUD SWIRL THAT
NIGHT. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION...EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROADER AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE...CONTINUED TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WHILE PRODUCING
INTERMITTENT DEEP BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. CURRENTLY...THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN
LUCAS MEXICO...MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS.

SUMMARY TABLE

NAME DATES MAX WIND (KT) DEATHS
-------------------------------------------------------
TS BEATRIZ 21-24 JUN 45 0
TS CALVIN 26-29 JUN 45 0
-------------------------------------------------------
NOTE...DATES BASED ON COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (UTC)

FORECASTER FRANKLIN/PASCH/KNABB

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Nothing new/Nothing I already don't know. I was expecting 94L to be upgraded here but I guest that will be likey later this year.

[cycloneye]

Nothing new/Nothing I already don't know. I was expecting 94L to be upgraded here but I guest that will be likey later this year.

Matt they for sure will go back after the season is over and do reanalyisis looking at that system 94L near the East coast of the US.

[senorpepr]

Yes, it much too soon for them to give a full reanalysis over 94L. If they do upgrade it, it will happen toward or after the end of the season.