LLC forming?

[wxman57]

The LCC you had marked in red moving west is a smaller vorticity within the whole circulation....it will peter out. the main circulation is further NE, to the west of Jamaica and south of western Cuba. It is rather broad but is filling in. That piece of convection SSW of Jamaica is getting sucked into the circulation. This is slowly moving to the NW, maybe North of NW. Folks in the Central/Western GOM need to watch this sucka.

I don't think so, but we shall see by tomorrow, I think. Time to head out on the bike for a 30 mile ride. The temperature is down to 96 now, perfect for riding!

[tw861]

The LCC you had marked in red moving west is a smaller vorticity within the whole circulation....it will peter out. the main circulation is further NE, to the west of Jamaica and south of western Cuba. It is rather broad but is filling in. That piece of convection SSW of Jamaica is getting sucked into the circulation. This is slowly moving to the NW, maybe North of NW. Folks in the Central/Western GOM need to watch this sucka.

I do agree with you for the most part. I think the real action is going down just to the west or southwest of Grand Cayman. THe one wxman points out looks more like one of the infamous "naked swirls" that we see flying around every now and then, but it is a little larger than most of those. I do think it's just part of a larger envelope slowly consolidating to the NE.

[dhweather]

It still looks like a MLC to the NE of what your picture depicts, and I suspect that if this develops, that will be the location. Tomorrow should
be an interesting day for watching the tropics.