T.S.CINDY this afternoon???????????????????

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

T.S.CINDY this afternoon???????????????????

#1 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:26 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


If you look at this system it looks to beforming into tropical depression#3 this morning.... It is 3:30 this the morning and looks to me that a t.d. is tring to pop up this early in the morning and i welcome any thought on this tropical system???????????????????

p.s. comments are welcome!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :P :P :P :P :P :P :P :P :P :P :P
Last edited by hurricanefloyd5 on Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:36 am, edited 5 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#2 Postby skysummit » Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:30 am

Yea, it's finally starting to look like something. Convection is still firing right over where the center is proclaimed to be. If it continues this way until sunrise, it should look pretty good. Too bad it'll be hitting land soon. :roll:
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:32 am

I see....This is a very small system kind of like Bret but smaller. The LLC is under the western side of the convection. In which case is showing signs of becoming better oreganized. But it appears to be moving west-northwest at 8 to 10 mph. Which would make the center make landfall with an the next 6 to 8 hours. It is getting better oreganized by the satellite.

I will look at surface obs...
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#4 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:37 am

Big suprize near the center of our system :eek: :eek: :eek:



Updated: 10:00 PM CST on July 02, 2005
Observed at Half Moon Caye, Belize (History)
Elevation: 3 ft / 1 m
Temperature: 91 °F / 33 °C
Humidity: 42%
Dew Point: 71 °F / 21 °C
Wind: 754 mph / 1213 km/h from the
Wind Gust: -
Pressure: 30.97 in / 1049 hPa (Rising)

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/78588.html

What in the #$#$ is going on down there?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#5 Postby skysummit » Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:38 am

WOW :eek: That's pretty darn breezy!
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:42 am

Yeah it seems like a nuke or a micro supercane.
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#7 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 03, 2005 2:43 am

A little error in the synoptic report: AAXX 03044 78588 36/// /9999 00655 10327 20214 40486 52012 333 5//// 91099 00655
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 03, 2005 3:26 am

Thanks Senorpepr I thought for a second that something really bad was happening down there.


A LLC has formed an is becoming better defined. It is right in the middle of that small area of convection. But it is moving at the coast in should be inland with an 6 hours.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#9 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Jul 03, 2005 3:39 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Thanks Senorpepr I thought for a second that something really bad was happening down there


You actually believed there was a 754mph wind? :P
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
crazycajuncane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1097
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 2:51 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
Contact:
Contact crazycajuncane

#10 Postby crazycajuncane » Sun Jul 03, 2005 3:52 am

Thunder44 wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Thanks Senorpepr I thought for a second that something really bad was happening down there


You actually believed there was a 754mph wind? :P


It's just a dream it's 3:52 am and I heard about 754 mph winds.... :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#11 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:38 am

THE FUTURE IS WILD!
0 likes   
Top
wxboy

#12 Postby wxboy » Sun Jul 03, 2005 7:56 am

this system is not moving west. It is moving slowly NW!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9492
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

#13 Postby ROCK » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:55 am

wxboy wrote:this system is not moving west. It is moving slowly NW!



really not sure what your seeing. Maybe its the east side where most to the convection is. The apparent center is moving a little N of due West and will be inland later today. :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hybridstorm_November2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2817
Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
Contact:
Contact Hybridstorm_November2001

RE:

#14 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Sun Jul 03, 2005 9:16 am

The system certainly appears much more impressive (in both convention and structure) this morning.

I'm going to go out on a limb here, and say that for sure we will have at least a TD by the end of the day, if not a weak TS (or named storm).


Hybridstorm_November2001
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Re: RE:

#15 Postby drezee » Sun Jul 03, 2005 9:17 am

Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:The system certainly appears much more impressive (in both convention and structure) this morning.

I'm going to go out on a limb here, and say that for sure we will have at least a TD by the end of the day, if not a weak TS (or named storm).


Hybridstorm_November2001



I wouldn't exactly call that a limb... :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

Re: RE:

#16 Postby HouTXmetro » Sun Jul 03, 2005 9:18 am

Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:The system certainly appears much more impressive (in both convention and structure) this morning.

I'm going to go out on a limb here, and say that for sure we will have at least a TD by the end of the day, if not a weak TS (or named storm).


Hybridstorm_November2001


Quite plausible. It looks lik a disorganized Tropical Storm if you ask me. Already looks way better then Arlene ever did.
Last edited by HouTXmetro on Sun Jul 03, 2005 9:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

Re: RE:

#17 Postby skysummit » Sun Jul 03, 2005 9:18 am

drezee wrote:
Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:The system certainly appears much more impressive (in both convention and structure) this morning.

I'm going to go out on a limb here, and say that for sure we will have at least a TD by the end of the day, if not a weak TS (or named storm).


Hybridstorm_November2001



I wouldn't exactly call that a limb... :wink:


Yea....that "TD" point you made is probably a pretty good size branch.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:
Contact hurricanefloyd5

#18 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:25 am

a t.d.#3 could form today before landfall!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! the nhc said it could be a depression before moving inland today :D :D :D :D :D :D
0 likes   
Top
corpusbreeze
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 386
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2004 3:57 pm

#19 Postby corpusbreeze » Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:43 am

Is that a small ull just north of the system moving nne? There also seems to be an ull wnw of the system.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#20 Postby drezee » Sun Jul 03, 2005 10:44 am

Buoy 42056 now reporting stronger winds:

Time (GMT) WSPD WDIR
1431 25.3 kts ENE ( 76 deg true )

Approx 30mph sustained winds

with them claiming it has a LLC now... a depression is imminent!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: KirbyDude25, Team Ghost and 502 guests