This storm may hook NE

#1 Postby **Stormcenter** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:49 pm

I think this TD or whatver it becomes will hook NE as it approached the upper Texas coast. I say SW LA is a good landfall spot but this is a just a early prediction.

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gkrangers · #2 Postby **gkrangers** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:56 pm

This is a Houston, east into LA/MS/AL threat based on the current Euro.

CYCLONE MIKE · #3 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:57 pm

As I live in south central LA this could hit close to home :?:

What makes you think it will have a sharp recurve to the northeast before landfall? I have not looked at any gulf coast area forecast model maps or read any discussions yet. Just got home surprised to even see a depression so soon.

stormchazer · #4 Postby **stormchazer** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:59 pm

Now that we have a classified systems we should see a little better model output. I would not be shocked to see a little shift to the right but TX-LA is a darn good bet.

Opal storm · #5 Postby **Opal storm** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 4:59 pm

gkrangers wrote:This is a Houston, east into LA/MS/AL threat based on the current Euro.

I don't think this is a threat to anybody east of LA.

gkrangers · #6 Postby **gkrangers** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:00 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:As I live in south central LA this could hit close to home What makes you think it will have a sharp recurve to the northeast before landfall? I have not looked at any gulf coast area forecast model maps or read any discussions yet. Just got home surprised to even see a depression so soon.

Ridging over the eastern GOM and Florida will move out to the east a little, allowing it to follow the periphery and possibly take a more N to NNE track when it nears landfall.

gkrangers · #7 Postby **gkrangers** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:01 pm

Opal storm wrote:
gkrangers wrote:This is a Houston, east into LA/MS/AL threat based on the current Euro.

I don't think this is a threat to anybody east of LA.

The MS and AL coastlines aren't big, on the grand scheme of things anything that threatens LA, threatens MS and AL.

For landfall purposes, your right, MS and AL are very unlikely. But a LA landfall could put MS and AL under the gun.

I should have phrased it that way to start. And taken a better look at a globe..MS and AL are the way the hell out in left field when it comes to this system...

Houston to NOLA it is.

CYCLONE MIKE · #8 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:05 pm

So pretty much thats it. No troughs ull's or such. Just ridge weakening shifting to the east. Should make things very interesting starting late tomorrow.

gkrangers · #9 Postby **gkrangers** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:07 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:So pretty much thats it. No troughs ull's or such. Just ridge weakening shifting to the east. Should make things very interesting starting late tomorrow.

No, thats not it. I can see where a ridge is on the Euro. Other than that I'm not very experienced...I don't understand what troughs and ULL's will do to a track as well as what a ridge will. I'm here to learn...

#10 Postby **feederband** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:12 pm

Ok as long as you don't put Florainans in the cone of doom I'm ok with a track futher to right...Just keep her away from Floraina.... :eek:

#11 Postby **sweetpea** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:13 pm

feederband wrote:Ok as long as you don't put Florainans in the cone of doom I'm ok with a track futher to right...Just keep her away from Floraina....

I totally agree with that. Meeting family in Orlando from Thursday to Sunday. And I don't want to worry about weather.

gkrangers · #12 Postby **gkrangers** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:14 pm

feederband wrote:Ok as long as you don't put Florainans in the cone of doom I'm ok with a track futher to right...Just keep her away from Floraina....

Florida? is safe..

#13 Postby **feederband** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:15 pm

gkrangers wrote:
feederband wrote:Ok as long as you don't put Florainans in the cone of doom I'm ok with a track futher to right...Just keep her away from Floraina....
Florida? is safe..

Boy I sure did hear that alot last year.... :roll:

CYCLONE MIKE · #14 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:16 pm

Gkrangers, A trough dropping down would turn the winds more southerly and increase shear that would lead to a more N to NNE, NE track.

#15 Postby **MGC** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:18 pm

I am currently thinking an Tx/La border to Grand Isle La, mim cane.....MGC

#16 Postby **Portastorm** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:21 pm

Wouldn't you know it ... I'm supposed to head to Matagorda Bay this week for a beach trip with the family ... this may be the only time I wish a tropical system away from me.

Knowing my luck though ... ugh!. :roll:

#17 Postby **ALhurricane** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:22 pm

If this thing becomes a Florida threat then I will be the youngest retiring meteorologist in the country.

southerngale · #18 Postby **southerngale** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:23 pm

ALhurricane wrote:If this thing becomes a Florida threat then I will be the youngest retiring meteorologist in the country.

#19 Postby **LSU2001** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:23 pm

Portastorm wrote:Wouldn't you know it ... I'm supposed to head to Matagorda Bay this week for a beach trip with the family ... this may be the only time I wish a tropical system away from me.

Knowing my luck though ... ugh!.

I am supposed to go to Grand Isle for four days with my wife and kids to do some crabbing and fishing. Guess I'll have to wait and see what happens.
Tim

#20 Postby **wx247** » Sun Jul 03, 2005 5:24 pm

ALhurricane wrote:If this thing becomes a Florida threat then I will be the youngest retiring meteorologist in the country.

But, of course, according to the thread it WILL turn... no ifs or mights there. Better turn in your two week notice now. :A:

This storm may hook NE

This storm may hook NE

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