Player down the road

[cycloneye]

We are in early July right or it is mid august? Wow the pattern looks like August but we still are in early July when it is supposed to not be very active.But what I am talking about in this thread is the wave that just emerged Western Africa which looks fairly organized.Let's see as it moves westward thru the Atlantic it does get torned apart by the sal or that factor will be absent.One thing is for sure is that the Cape Verde season is going to have an early start because the sst's are very warm reaching as far as west Africa and the heat content will provide the necessary fuel to make the waves organize.However the dry air factor is an enigma during the season so we have to watch that to see how active the CV season will be.

[weatherwindow]

luis...i am sure you are all over the models. earlier runs of the ngps and mm5 both picked up on both the 60w and the emerging wave. the 60w wave moving to the fla straits by 144 hrs and the emerging wave to just north of the islands also at 144 hours. have you seen any runs later than 070300z and 070312z on mm5 and nogaps respectively?????......rich

[cycloneye]

luis...i am sure you are all over the models. earlier runs of the ngps and mm5 both picked up on both the 60w and the emerging wave. the 60w wave moving to the fla straits by 144 hrs and the emerging wave to just north of the islands also at 144 hours. have you seen any runs later than 070300z and 070312z on mm5 and nogaps respectively?????......rich

No I haved not seen later runs.But I haved seen earlier today runs about the wave now South of the Cape Verde islands near Puerto Rico in 7 days.