BREAKING NEWS:Special Statement,Cindy before reaching Yuc

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Stormcenter
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#41 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:24 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:in other words

Houston, we have a problem


NOT GOOD!!!!
:eek:
I just wanted the rain.
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#42 Postby CFL » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:32 pm

How far westward does that ridge extend, and how long is it expected to hold that position?
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#43 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:34 pm

The Euro looks like it keeps the ridge strong enough to keep MS/AL/FL safe from a landfall, but they could certainly be affected by the storm.

Tuesday and Wednesday will be important in regards to the Bermuda High and how far it extends into the GOM.
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#44 Postby feederband » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:38 pm

Looks like she is blowing up right now....
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#45 Postby Wpwxguy » Sun Jul 03, 2005 8:43 pm

If you'll go to the image posted below, look at the trough that is over LA and extends into the Gulf . Its this area that will try to turn Cindy more to the north. Have not seen the latest models, but it was forecast earlier today to remain in place thru Tuesday. With action of the Ridge to the east and that weakness its a great possibility that LA will get the brunt of this thing. Now thats not in any way a forecast. Just my opinion, and uneducated at that. I am looking at the Morgan City, LA to Bay St. Louis, MS area. Could go west of that but I just don't see it right now. However everyone and I repeat everyone should keep their guard up on this one. She may turn out to be a huge problem. IMO
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... xirg8n.GIF


Bill
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#46 Postby Normandy » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:10 am

Our days of being overdue are coming to a close....I have a really really bad feeling about this. :cry:
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#47 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:12 am

If I were you, id keep a very close eye on this
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Normandy
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#48 Postby Normandy » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:16 am

Im keeping both of my eyes on this. :eek:
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#49 Postby Radar » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:18 am

MS Gulf Coast is also on standby and has eyes wide open! :eek:
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#50 Postby Normandy » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:19 am

My worry is that I remember last year the models had an east bias....and well an east bias here puts the hurricane directly over galveston.....
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#51 Postby Stratosphere747 » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:22 am

Normandy wrote:My worry is that I remember last year the models had an east bias....and well an east bias here puts the hurricane directly over galveston.....



East bias would be towards La...Not Galveston...

Still early...
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Normandy
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#52 Postby Normandy » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:25 am

No I thought that the current NHC track was based on model runs....which tend to have an easterly biad (or did last year).
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#53 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:26 am

All the models have had a eastern bias since the past year
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Normandy
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#54 Postby Normandy » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:28 am

Yes so wouldnt that mean the storm would track west of the current NHC track right?
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#55 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:31 am

The models did tend to have an Easterly bias last year. If that is being continued this year, and we really haven't had a good test of that yet, then indeed Normandy could be correct in his assumption. The ridge over FL is expected to be building West through Wednesday. By then this system will be much closer to the coast and should have continued on a basically WNW to NW course due to the ridges Western periphery. I do however expect the system, whatever it is at landfall to be moving almost due North following the weakness into the coast.
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#56 Postby Normandy » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:32 am

Yea....i think this is it....itll definitely be the biggest scare weve had in years.
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