Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 2a
Statement as of 1:00 am CDT on July 04, 2005
...Tropical Depression Three moving onshore on the East Coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula...
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the East Coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula from Punta Allen southward to Chetumal...
including the Banco chincorro islands. This warning may be
discontinued later this morning.
Interests elsewhere in the northwestern Caribbean Sea...the Yucatan
Peninsula...and the southern Gulf of Mexico should closely monitor
the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 1 am CDT...0600z...the center of Tropical Depression Three was
located near latitude 19.3 north... longitude 87.8 west or about 65
miles... 105 km...north-northeast of Chetumal Mexico and about 100
miles... 165 km...southwest of Cozumel Mexico.
The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph
...15 km/hr...and this general motion is forecast to continue
with a slight increase in forward speed expected on Monday. On
this track...the center of the depression will be moving across the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph... 55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some slow weakening is possible today while the center is
over the Yucatan Peninsula.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches are possible over the central and
northern Yucatan Peninsula...and extreme western Cuba.
Repeating the 1 am CDT position...19.3 N... 87.8 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 9 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 35 mph. Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 4 am CDT.
Forecaster Beven
$$
Still Tropical Depression, Warnings Could Be Discontinued.
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Well its 3:30 a.m. and it is inland but the storms have increased over the center/or near the center significantly in the last hour. The convection is really blowing up with deep reds to almost black on the infrared. WOW! I think she will be a formitable foe. It also looks like it has moved on a more NW-NNW course, but may not last. I don't think it will go back to WNW though. Probably NW. Well , I'm off to bed now. See ya in a few hours.
Bill
Bill
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