12Z Models center: 20.0N 88.6W

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drezee
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12Z Models center: 20.0N 88.6W

#1 Postby drezee » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:06 am

099
WHXX01 KWBC 041232
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE (AL032005) ON 20050704 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050704 1200 050705 0000 050705 1200 050706 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.0N 88.6W 21.2N 90.6W 22.4N 92.4W 23.5N 94.1W
BAMM 20.0N 88.6W 21.4N 90.6W 22.6N 92.6W 23.9N 94.4W
A98E 20.0N 88.6W 21.4N 90.1W 23.0N 91.4W 24.9N 92.7W
LBAR 20.0N 88.6W 21.6N 90.4W 23.6N 92.0W 25.6N 93.3W
SHIP 30KTS 33KTS 38KTS 44KTS
DSHP 30KTS 33KTS 38KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050706 1200 050707 1200 050708 1200 050709 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 24.4N 95.7W 25.6N 98.3W 26.5N 99.5W 27.7N 99.7W
BAMM 24.7N 96.1W 25.8N 99.4W 26.3N 102.2W 26.4N 104.3W
A98E 26.7N 93.9W 30.6N 92.6W 32.3N 87.8W 33.2N 83.2W
LBAR 27.2N 93.8W 30.2N 92.4W 32.6N 87.0W 33.8N 78.8W
SHIP 48KTS 53KTS 51KTS 43KTS
DSHP 48KTS 53KTS 29KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.0N LONCUR = 88.6W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 18.6N LONM12 = 87.2W DIRM12 = 312DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 18.0N LONM24 = 86.0W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:07 am

SHIPS has backed off significantly from 2 days ago.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:09 am

The iniciation is more south that what sat estimates have and pressure is up so no Cindy this morning nor afternoon.
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#4 Postby Rainband » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:10 am

Good news :D
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#5 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:10 am

cycloneye wrote:The iniciation is more south that what sat estimates have and pressure is up so no Cindy this morning nor afternoon.



Hmmmmmmm

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6
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#6 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:36 am

Im sure the center is not at 20N so i dont know what those models are plotting.
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