System has split and looks to be heading NNW or NW..

Guest · #1 Postby **Guest** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:48 am

MLC has moved NNW taking over and well in command, lets see if it works to the surface.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

#2 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:49 am

Not to be suggesting anything, but how similar is this scenario to Charley last year?

Sean in New Orleans · #3 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:55 am

Doesn't seem split to me?!

#4 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:57 am

Nice ball of convection getting ready to move offshore. Watch out!

Sean in New Orleans · #5 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:57 am

Just seems like it's getting better organized and looking like it's definitely heading towards Tropical Storm status later today.....

Guest · #6 Postby **Guest** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:58 am

No one will admit this system is gonna cause havoc for NOLA and Mississippi and Alabama and Florida Panhandle... thats right I said it, that dirty word of hurricane season FLORIDA! But it will mainly be a rain event for them (Florida).

sunny · #7 Postby **sunny** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:59 am

David Bernard on Channel 4 just said he thinks we are going to get a lot out of this system.

#8 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:59 am

If it goes north to NOLA or any points west toward Galveston, we're going to experience flooding in SE La.

Anonymous · #9 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:00 am

I kinda thought this a few days ago.

#10 Postby **Air Force Met** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:03 am

I believe that there is a piece of engery being spit out right now. This is bad in the short term, but in long run may be good for the system. Think back to yesterday when the MLC and LLC were disjointed...if you looked up towards the channel...there was another area of mid-level vorticity. I think this is the blob that is streaming north. Now...I think the MLC is sitting north of the yucatan...and the latest burst of convection should help this center consolidate.

Opal storm · #11 Postby **Opal storm** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:03 am

Frederic1979 wrote:No one will admit this system is gonna cause havoc for NOLA and Mississippi and Alabama and Florida Panhandle... thats right I said it, that dirty word of hurricane season FLORIDA! But it will mainly be a rain event for them (Florida).

Yes,I know Texas needs the rain but it doesn't look like they will get it from this system,especially if it continues this NW/NNW track.

Stratosphere747 · #12 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:05 am

Air Force Met wrote:I believe that there is a piece of engery being spit out right now. This is bad in the short term, but in long run may be good for the system. Think back to yesterday when the MLC and LLC were disjointed...if you looked up towards the channel...there was another area of mid-level vorticity. I think this is the blob that is streaming north. Now...I think the MLC is sitting north of the yucatan...and the latest burst of convection should help this center consolidate.

That would tend to push the track further east? If there is any track....

#13 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:05 am

Open wave, but not for long. This has the potential to deepen rapidly.

#14 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:07 am

Lowpressure wrote:Open wave, but not for long. This has the potential to deepen rapidly.

Yea, I think there's a circulation under that convection moving offshore. Look at the lower clouds in visible. They're rotating inward.

Guest · #15 Postby **Guest** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:09 am

Air Force Met wrote:I believe that there is a piece of engery being spit out right now. This is bad in the short term, but in long run may be good for the system. Think back to yesterday when the MLC and LLC were disjointed...if you looked up towards the channel...there was another area of mid-level vorticity. I think this is the blob that is streaming north. Now...I think the MLC is sitting north of the yucatan...and the latest burst of convection should help this center consolidate.

Good observation, I concur, uh I agree.

#16 Postby **feederband** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:09 am

Frederic1979 wrote:No one will admit this system is gonna cause havoc for NOLA and Mississippi and Alabama and Florida Panhandle... thats right I said it, that dirty word of hurricane season FLORIDA! But it will mainly be a rain event for them (Florida).

We have a rain event every day... :lol:

Guest · #17 Postby **Guest** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:10 am

Air Force Met wrote:I believe that there is a piece of engery being spit out right now. This is bad in the short term, but in long run may be good for the system. Think back to yesterday when the MLC and LLC were disjointed...if you looked up towards the channel...there was another area of mid-level vorticity. I think this is the blob that is streaming north. Now...I think the MLC is sitting north of the yucatan...and the latest burst of convection should help this center consolidate.

Good observation, I concur, uh I agree.

HouTXmetro · #18 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:20 am

As I posted in another thread, based on the vis either one of the potential centers has more of a west-wnw heading now.

#19 Postby **tailgater** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:32 am

HouTXmetro wrote:As I posted in another thread, based on the vis either one of the potential centers has more of a west-wnw heading now.

IMMO when this thing finally consolidates it probably head WNW to NW around the high to east. I'm puzzled as to what short wave diving SE out of the Plains will do to "CINDY"

System has split and looks to be heading NNW or NW..

System has split and looks to be heading NNW or NW..

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