TD#3 more than likely will hit the Houston area but....

Anonymous · #1 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:18 am

all of the worse weather will be on the east side which means Lake Charles. Lafayette etc... will get the majority of the rain which is going to suck for the next few days. I hate when it rains buckets.

#2 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:19 am

Big EZ wrote:all of the worse weather will be on the east side which means Lake Charles. Lafayette etc... will get the majority of the rain which is going to suck for the next few days. I hate when it rains buckets.

I do not feel this is a Texas threat.

#3 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:20 am

BigEZ, I think the Big Easy has more of a threat than Houston.

sunny · #4 Postby **sunny** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:22 am

skysummit wrote:BigEZ, I think the Big Easy has more of a threat than Houston.

A few people feel that New Orleans has more of a threat than Houston.

rainstorm · #5 Postby **rainstorm** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:24 am

some indications are a major cane hits new orleans. with the rain from cindy before it, massive flooding now seems likely

#6 Postby **bfez1** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:25 am

IMO, it's way to early to call it . Just needs close monitoring at this point.

Stratosphere747 · #7 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:25 am

rainstorm wrote:some indications are a major cane hits new orleans. with the rain from cindy before it, massive flooding now seems likely

I thought this was a Houston storm??

Derek Ortt · #8 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:25 am

what?

1. TD 3 is probably a wave, not Cindy, at least for now

2. Major cane hitting NO?

Sean in New Orleans · #9 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:25 am

rainstorm wrote:some indications are a major cane hits new orleans. with the rain from cindy before it, massive flooding now seems likely

Bite your tonque! I don't see this becoming a Major Hurricane before it strikes land...it will be moving too fast. It's forecast to accelerate later today...

HurryKane · #10 Postby **HurryKane** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:29 am

Sean in New Orleans wrote:
rainstorm wrote:some indications are a major cane hits new orleans. with the rain from cindy before it, massive flooding now seems likely

Bite your tonque! I don't see this becoming a Major Hurricane before it strikes land...it will be moving too fast. It's forecast to accelerate later today...

No sweat--it's going to hit North Carolina as a Cat 5. TAADAOW!

:moon2:

AussieMark · #11 Postby **AussieMark** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:36 am

bfez1 wrote:IMO, it's way to early to call it . Just needs close monitoring at this point.

Majors in June and July are quite rare I thought.

Bertha reached category 3 in 1996 was the most recent before that was

Alma reached category 3 in 1966
Anna reached category 3 in 1961
Audrey reached category 4 in 1957
Able reached category 3 in 1951 (May)

in the last 54 years just 5 majors have been observed in May-July

Javlin · #12 Postby **Javlin** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:40 am

Not enough time for major development IMO unless it stalls and the EPAC quiets down some.Cindy later this evening a possibility 50/50.

cajungal · #13 Postby **cajungal** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:44 am

The models are all over the place. NoGaps takes it right over my house, straight through Terrebonne Parish. Almost identical to Bill's path. One takes it through Mexico. The other through Texas. When it gets over the GOM and gets better organized, we will have more of an idea where it will go.

#14 Postby **Robert** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:49 am

No sweat--it's going to hit North Carolina as a Cat 5. TAADAOW!

I am packing my bags and leaving today before the rush!

Really I think it is way too early to be in the "I think it is going to hit" stage. I think everyone on the Gulf needs to be aware that it is there, but it is not Cindy yet (I don't think it is right now), and who knows what it will do over the next few days. When it becomes Cindy, and when it moves into the gulf, then we can start really looking at where it might hit, but I don't see this going any stronger then a Cat 1 (maybe), and there are way too many factors that may or may not influance its development (or lack of) and path.

Robert

CA _Tracker · #15 Postby **CA _Tracker** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:49 pm

I think I know where it's going...

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... palmer.gif

Follow the Yellow Brick Road...

8-)

#16 Postby **Air Force Met** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:52 pm

casper wrote:Not enough time for major development IMO unless it stalls and the EPAC quiets down some.Cindy later this evening a possibility 50/50.

I think its less than that...given it is going to have to get a whole new ball of convection to work with. Maybe later tonight / tomorrow morning...maybe. Probably more like tomorrow morning...if then. The mid levels have to stay with the low levels and that may take another 24 hours.

Stratosphere747 · #17 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 12:54 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
casper wrote:Not enough time for major development IMO unless it stalls and the EPAC quiets down some.Cindy later this evening a possibility 50/50.

I think its less than that...given it is going to have to get a whole new ball of convection to work with. Maybe later tonight / tomorrow morning...maybe. Probably more like tomorrow morning...if then. The mid levels have to stay with the low levels and that may take another 24 hours.

With the slow development, that would tend to push it more west before it begins to make the curve?

TD#3 more than likely will hit the Houston area but....

TD#3 more than likely will hit the Houston area but....

Re: TD#3 more than likely will hit the Houston area but....

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