Due West Jog?

[Sean in New Orleans]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[freeport_texas22]

kinda looks that way...

[SWLA]

It looks like the low level center is just wnw of all that convection and it does appear to be moving just north of west at this time.

[Javlin]

It looks like the old LLC has been spit out and a new one N of YUC and NNW of Cancun.

[Stormcenter]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-vis-loop.html

It still looks NW to NNW to my tired eyes.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=7

[skysummit]

I'll go ahead and say NW also right now.

[Anonymous]

It may have taken a slight West-Northwest jog, but still NW to me.

[ncweatherwizard]

I think I found our old center; it outran the convection...check out that loop again. I wouldn't be surprised if the movement moved a little west if a newer center forms to the north, but for the ridge to have a significant effect on westward movement, it'd have to redevelop even farther north than the Yucatan northern coast.

[Sean in New Orleans]

It may have taken a slight West-Northwest jog, but still NW to me.

Oh, I agree...it's just a jog. I still think your long term forecast for Central to SE Louisiana is on target...but, we'll just have to watch it all unfold. Today will be very telling. Things will certainly be pretty clear by tonight at 11:00PM...I'm thinking it may shift N or even NE before it makes landfall as it goes around the ridge. It may move further West, but, the entire scenario we are discussing is landfall and even if it goes West of certain latitudes, I still won't rule out Central Louisiana until the system is actually on land somewhere else.

[Air Force Met]

If you guys can pull up a GHCC loop...zoomed in at 100%...you can see some cu clouds through the cirrus near the north central coast...maybe inland by 20 miles. They are moving NNE. So...we have a LLC...at least up at a couple thousand feet. ALso note in the last frame the clouds on the west coast are now starting to job NNE. That puts the weak center near 21.8 / 89.0. Given another piece of energy is spitting out to the NNW and N...I think the center will track more WNW-NW for now...the question is can it hang on.

[HouTXmetro]

If you guys can pull up a GHCC loop...zoomed in at 100%...you can see some cu clouds through the cirrus near the north central coast...maybe inland by 20 miles. They are moving NNE. So...we have a LLC...at least up at a couple thousand feet. ALso note in the last frame the clouds on the west coast are now starting to job NNE. That puts the weak center near 21.8 / 89.0. Given another piece of energy is spitting out to the NNW and N...I think the center will track more WNW-NW for now...the question is can it hang on.

Where might I find that loop? but thats where ive been thinking the center was all along.

[Stratosphere747]

Just looked at RAMSDIS AFM, and can see what you are talking about, but to my untrained eyes it looks like a more pronunced westward movement the last few frames?

[HouTXmetro]

Just looked at RAMSDIS AFM, and can see what you are talking about, but to my untrained eyes it looks like a more pronunced westward movement the last few frames?

Can you post a link please?

[Stratosphere747]

Just looked at RAMSDIS AFM, and can see what you are talking about, but to my untrained eyes it looks like a more pronunced westward movement the last few frames?

Can you post a link please?

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsd ... PICAL.html

[Air Force Met]

If you guys can pull up a GHCC loop...zoomed in at 100%...you can see some cu clouds through the cirrus near the north central coast...maybe inland by 20 miles. They are moving NNE. So...we have a LLC...at least up at a couple thousand feet. ALso note in the last frame the clouds on the west coast are now starting to job NNE. That puts the weak center near 21.8 / 89.0. Given another piece of energy is spitting out to the NNW and N...I think the center will track more WNW-NW for now...the question is can it hang on.

Where might I find that loop? but thats where ive been thinking the center was all along.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Choose, animation, 100% for quality...loop about 15 frames...and click on the N coast of the yuk. Then you can adjust the loop rate.

[tw861]

If you guys can pull up a GHCC loop...zoomed in at 100%...you can see some cu clouds through the cirrus near the north central coast...maybe inland by 20 miles. They are moving NNE. So...we have a LLC...at least up at a couple thousand feet. ALso note in the last frame the clouds on the west coast are now starting to job NNE. That puts the weak center near 21.8 / 89.0. Given another piece of energy is spitting out to the NNW and N...I think the center will track more WNW-NW for now...the question is can it hang on.

Where might I find that loop? but thats where ive been thinking the center was all along.

Here:

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Really good if you have highspeed connection. I'm running a 25 image loop at 100% quality and a high zoom factor centered just north of the Yucatan.

It really seems to be moving WNW right now.

Also Merida has a SSW wind which would fit in pretty good with the suspected location. When is recon going ?

[Opal storm]

I'm starting to see a more WNW movement also,or maybe it's just a big jog.If it does go back to a WNW track and stay on a WNW/NW track for a while,then the NHC would be right on target with their forecast.Landfall would occur at the TX/LA border.

[tw861]

If you guys can pull up a GHCC loop...zoomed in at 100%...you can see some cu clouds through the cirrus near the north central coast...maybe inland by 20 miles. They are moving NNE. So...we have a LLC...at least up at a couple thousand feet. ALso note in the last frame the clouds on the west coast are now starting to job NNE. That puts the weak center near 21.8 / 89.0. Given another piece of energy is spitting out to the NNW and N...I think the center will track more WNW-NW for now...the question is can it hang on.

Where might I find that loop? but thats where ive been thinking the center was all along.

Here:

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Really good if you have highspeed connection. I'm running a 25 image loop at 100% quality and a high zoom factor centered just north of the Yucatan.

It really seems to be moving WNW right now.

Also Merida has a SSW wind which would fit in pretty good with the suspected location. When is recon going ?

Oh and the pictures also update about every 15 minutes on the MSFC site.