Is there a reason why all of this year's storms....?

[JTD]

So far Arlene, Bret and TD #3 have been stunningly unimpressive to say the least. They seem to have a habit of:
a) not developing even as much as anticipated)
b) shear and dry air seems to be dominant)

Does this portend that we could see a lot of TDs and TS's form this season but not very many hurricanes?

I am starting to worry that this year might not see an impressive storm. (Now no one wants a cat 5 to hit land but it would be nice to see one like Isabel for example that dramatically weakens before land)

Anyway, my main question would be: Any significance for why all storms are struggling so far this year?

[Hurricaneman]

I believe its dry air and shear

[wxcrazytwo]

Maybe because it is early in the season shear, dry air, etc..

[WXFIEND]

Sure, Arlene was a doozy.

But Bret was only a minimal Tropical Storm...

and I don't know much, but for a TD this thing sure looks impressive!

[vacanechaser]

Mostly dur to it being June and July... The early part of the season has shear and big swings in the atmosphere during these months and it is just to hard to get going.. Once we get later in the month and into August, it should be less shear and much more favorable across the entire Atlantic..


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Ivanhater]

well im not sure this is the case.. bret was in a very favorable are for development only problem was land, TD 3 has just come off land , could do whatever it wants, but conditions are still favorable

point being that this will likely be a very active season including major hurricanes.JMO

[JTD]

I just remembered how long it took for our first named storm last year so to have 2 already I guess spoils us.

Would be nice to see something major form though just so we know that this year's conditions will allow for it.

[Brent]

I just remembered how long it took for our first named storm last year so to have 2 already I guess spoils us.

Would be nice to see something major form though just so we know that this year's conditions will allow for it.

It is EARLY JULY! The odds of a major storm this early are VERY small.

[JTD]

I just remembered how long it took for our first named storm last year so to have 2 already I guess spoils us.

Would be nice to see something major form though just so we know that this year's conditions will allow for it.

It is EARLY JULY! The odds of a major storm this early are VERY small.

But what I mean is Bret and TD #3 are developing less than what was expected.

[Brent]

I just remembered how long it took for our first named storm last year so to have 2 already I guess spoils us.

Would be nice to see something major form though just so we know that this year's conditions will allow for it.

It is EARLY JULY! The odds of a major storm this early are VERY small.

But what I mean is Bret and TD #3 are developing less than what was expected.

Bret was too close to land... had it not moved inland within 12 hours, it would have been stronger.

Conditions aren't exactly perfect for TD 3(again, perfect conditions this time of year is very unusual), so this is nothing out of the ordinary.

What did you do last year when TD 1 didn't form until July 31?

[JTD]

LOL. I didn't pay as much attention back then. The "4 hurricanes in 6 weeks" made hurricanes a passion for me instead of being just a interest but not an intense one.

[stormie_skies]

Jason.....I understand completely

I dont think you have ANYTHING to worry about as far as a lack of well-formed storms goes this season.... I think pretty much everyone here will agree that we seem WAY ahead of schedule concerning frequency and quality of tropical development. Usually it doesn't get this active until late August - if then!

Trust me, if things keep going the way they are going .... you will have your fair share of nicely formed hurricanes to track this year....lets just all pray that the pretty ones decide to go fishing!

[EDR1222]

Generally, systems that do form in June are not very intense. Obviously Audrey was an exception. But I don't think will have any effect on the intensity of the storms that end up forming in August and September.