Aruba Radar

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 10:53 pm

http://www.weather.an/sat_img/radar.asp#

It shows very well TD#4 as it moves west at a good clip.

Stratosphere747 · #2 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 10:55 pm

First glance Luis, it does not seem to have the WNW direction as mentioned by the NHC...

Does it look more due West to you?

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 10:57 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:First glance Luis, it does not seem to have the WNW direction as mentioned by the NHC...

Does it look more due West to you?

Looking at that radar yes west but maybe a tad westwestnorthwest.

Hyperstorm · #4 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:11 pm

Cycloneye, that radar loop from Aruba is a few hours old already. The latest image they have is from 23:30 GMT OR 7:30 AST. The area of showers you see on the far right of the image moving directly west is a band of showers that was WAY ahead of the depression and is now dissipating.

The depression is still way east of that radar and is moving (according to latest satellite images) WNW...

Ola · #5 Postby **Ola** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:14 pm

I wonder why they even spent all that $$ ona a radar in an island that receives almost no rain at all all year long.

#6 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:14 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:Cycloneye, that radar loop from Aruba is a few hours old already. The latest image they have is from 23:30 GMT OR 7:30 AST. The area of showers you see on the far right of the image moving directly west is a band of showers that was WAY ahead of the depression and is now dissipating.

The depression is still way east of that radar and is moving (according to latest satellite images) WNW...

Yes I see it as old and not the depression, :oops:

I found this site and posted it rapidly.But when the system moves thru it can be seen.

Stratosphere747 · #7 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:16 pm

http://www.weather.an/sat_img/loop_sat.asp

Great site though....How impressive does it already look...Wow..

artist · #8 Postby **artist** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:23 pm

this is from this site

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... /princ.htm

Hyperstorm · #9 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:23 pm

Again, the satellite loop is a few hours old as well. I believe their Meteorological Service website is only run during their working hours and once they leave home for the day they stop updating their satellite and radar images. If my "theory" is correct, updated images should re-appear tomorrow morning.

Hyperstorm · #10 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:28 pm

Now, that's what I call an impressive outflow pattern with this depression.

Something to NOTE as of this time, is that the outflow has become restricted on the west side of the system per the latest satellite images I've seen tonight. It is NOT expanding to the west as was seen earlier today. If we're going to get development, we need this outflow to continue expanding and in ALL directions.

This should either be one of 2 things. It could just be something temporary and it might start expanding again during the overnight hours into tomorrow...OR we could be seeing the beginnings of a "bust" in wind shear projection charts for this area.

We'll see...

#11 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:36 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:Now, that's what I call an impressive outflow pattern with this depression.

And the depression is located in the hurricane graveyard!!

#12 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:42 pm

Ola wrote:I wonder why they even spent all that $$ ona a radar in an island that receives almost no rain at all all year long.

Exactly what I was wondering too.....

<RICKY>

Derek Ortt · #13 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:48 pm

a bust in a wind shear forecast... now why would that not be a surprise

however, I believe what we are seeing is the upper high being re-enforced by an even larger one to the north, with a trough, currently duenorth of the depression, sinking southward, which will even enhance to outflow even more

Stratosphere747 · #14 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:50 pm

Almost looking like a Allen type of track is setting up...

rsdoug1981 · #15 Postby **rsdoug1981** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 11:52 pm

Derek or Cycloneye,

According to the NHC discussion, the anticyclone over td04 may actually be too large for rapid intensification. How can an anticyclone actually slow intensification?

Hyperstorm · #16 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 4:38 pm

Just wanted to let everyone know that the aruba radar has been updated this afternoon (although the last image available is almost 2 hours old). At least we get the idea of where the center is while we wait for recon. It appears that is on the northern edge of the deep convection cluster that has persisted.

Tonight should prove interesting......85*...

Derek Ortt · #17 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 4:46 pm

I have never heard of conditions being too favorable and Dennis is not a small cyclone

#18 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 4:47 pm

That is unusual right Derek for being early July?

#19 Postby **Air Force Met** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 4:49 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:Just wanted to let everyone know that the aruba radar has been updated this afternoon (although the last image available is almost 2 hours old). At least we get the idea of where the center is while we wait for recon. It appears that is on the northern edge of the deep convection cluster that has persisted.

Tonight should prove interesting......85*...

Thanks. This goes even further to prove my point that the NHC loaction is too far south. The center is clear on the radar...and you can also see it moving more W. Anyway...the center is about 300KM to a 020 from Aruba...which makes it at about 14.8N/68W at 1945Z (the last frame) and according to the coordinates I got from the GHCC at 1945Z in the vis pic (when the LLC was visible before the latest burst) it matches (I got 14.93/67.81 on the sat image). The NHC position would place it at about the 230KM mark for comparision. It's pretty easy to follow the center there as it scoots along at the top of the frame.

Normandy · #20 Postby **Normandy** » Tue Jul 05, 2005 4:50 pm

Thanks. This goes even further to prove my point that the NHC loaction is too far south. The center is clear on the radar...and you can also see it moving more W. Anyway...the center is about 300KM to a 020 from Aruba...which makes it at about 14.8N/68W at 1945Z (the last frame) and according to the coordinates I got from the GHCC at 1945Z in the vis pic (when the LLC was visible before the latest burst) it matches (I got 14.93/67.81 on the sat image). The NHC position would place it at about the 230KM mark for comparision. It's pretty easy to follow the center there as it scoots along at the top of the frame.

Its nice to know im not the only one who thinks its moving more west...

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