Cindy-any chance of eastward turn BEFORE landfall?

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rockyman
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#21 Postby rockyman » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:46 am

Center is now showing up on New Orleans long-range radar...so we'll be able to track it to the coast:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.klix.shtml
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dhweather
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#22 Postby dhweather » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:08 am

I still think extreme SE LA (Grand Isle to Buras) then throught the marsh
to MS, between Diamondhead and Biloxi.
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N2Storms
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Tallahassee NWS AFD

#23 Postby N2Storms » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:37 am

DISCUSSION...TS CINDY IS CURRENTLY MOVING NWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
GULF. IT IS BEING STEERED BY THE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE FL
PENINSULA. IT IS A BIT UNSETTLING TO SEE THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY
MOVING EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS, AS THIS FEATURE MAY BEGIN TO
INFLUENCE CINDY BEFORE LANDFALL, BRINGING THE SYSTEM ASHORE FURTHER
E THAN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. SEE MARINE DISCUSSION BELOW.
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rockyman
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#24 Postby rockyman » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:44 am

dh...looks like you are right on the money...looks like Diamondhead is in the bullseye...

and the east of north turn looks to be starting BEFORE landfall...like some on the board have predicted.

Image
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fwbbreeze
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Re: Tallahassee NWS AFD

#25 Postby fwbbreeze » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:44 am

N2Storms wrote:DISCUSSION...TS CINDY IS CURRENTLY MOVING NWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
GULF. IT IS BEING STEERED BY THE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE FL
PENINSULA. IT IS A BIT UNSETTLING TO SEE THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY
MOVING EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS, AS THIS FEATURE MAY BEGIN TO
INFLUENCE CINDY BEFORE LANDFALL, BRINGING THE SYSTEM ASHORE FURTHER
E THAN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. SEE MARINE DISCUSSION BELOW.


perhaps the NHC is seeing the same thing by extending the TS warnings eastward to Destin, FL!!

fwbbreeze
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dhweather
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#26 Postby dhweather » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:46 am

As with most tropical systems, especially ones not well organized,
most of the weather is to the east, and sometimes pretty far east.
So Grand Isle to Pansacola is in for a lot of rain, and wind.
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jax

#27 Postby jax » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:55 am

It looks as though Cindy is going to simply clip the mouth of the
Mississippi river and head strait for Biloxi / Gulfport area.
There is some might warm water in that streatch...
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#28 Postby frederic79 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 10:22 am

Water temps around 85 south of Biloxi /Gulfport. I wouldn't be surprised to see higher winds with Cindy that we had with Ivan here in Pascagoula. Cindy's winds increased 10 mph in roughly 5 hours and very well may reach 60-65 before Cindy makes landfall. With Ivan, we had winds in the 50ish range as we got the weak side of the storm. Still 10-12 hours left before landfall with Cindy so we watch and wait.
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#29 Postby Nimbus » Tue Jul 05, 2005 11:36 am

I noticed the surface pressures near southwest pass were still rising this morning.
Is there still some narrow ridging taking place between Cindy and the approaching short wave?
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