I dont think Florida

[jax]

Accuweather was off to the left with Cindy yesterday and the day before. Once Dennis starts going a little more north JB and accuweather will shift thier attention to FLorida. My thinking is this storm will not make it further east than Ivan.

Everyone had been shifting right... EVERYONE...
accuwx a little less than the others...

There will probably be another shift right again today... JMHO

[Canelaw99]

Here are the models you are referring too... They all pass west of
Keys and Homestead... I think they are on to something... pretty
tight grouping at 5 days out...

http://weather.net-waves.com/td94.php

Yep, that's them, but when you run them, they don't seem to be that far west...who knows ...interesting to keep an eye on them though, especially now that there is a recon set.

[loon]

Accuweather was off to the left with Cindy yesterday and the day before. Once Dennis starts going a little more north JB and accuweather will shift thier attention to FLorida. My thinking is this storm will not make it further east than Ivan.

Everyone had been shifting right... EVERYONE...
accuwx a little less than the others...

There will probably be another shift right again today... JMHO

Everyone? I swore I just read in the Tropical Analysis forum that models were all shifting west? Which everyone are you talking about?

[jax]

Accuweather was off to the left with Cindy yesterday and the day before. Once Dennis starts going a little more north JB and accuweather will shift thier attention to FLorida. My thinking is this storm will not make it further east than Ivan.

Everyone had been shifting right... EVERYONE...
accuwx a little less than the others...

There will probably be another shift right again today... JMHO

Everyone? I swore I just read in the Tropical Analysis forum that models were all shifting west? Which everyone are you talking about?

talking about the Cindy shift he referred too...

[loon]

ah, gotcha....too many posts, too little sleep, lost track of what we were talking about I guess...

[BUD]

Local MET said "if"dennis slows down it may go alot more to the right.Which model he was looking at I do not know,but he said its to early!!!!!!!

[jrod]

They're shifting west because the initial track is further south than they were showing so the have had to reset the models with the center further south so naturally a shift to the left on all the models happened.

I am going out on a limb but I think this is going to be a Florida storm. I am not exactly a blind nut either, I dropped out of Met. school and have been watching the tropics all of my life. I have been wrong before and I am certain I will be wrong again. I dont want the all the drama of another storm hiting Florida but I do belive we are in the hurricane alley again this season.

***Disclaimer***
I am not a certified meteorologist and all information regarding Hurricane and Tropical Storm landfall should be obtained form the National Hurricane Center and local authorities.

[x-y-no]

Local MET said "if"dennis slows down it may go alot more to the right.Which model he was looking at I do not know,but he said its to early!!!!!!!

All the global models indicate some weakening of the ridge later in the week, so it makes sense that if Dennis moves slower, he won't have got as far west when the ridge breaks down north of him, and thus he would go more to the right.

Whether it's going to happen that way, I can't tell you.

Jan

[BUD]

Local MET said "if"dennis slows down it may go alot more to the right.Which model he was looking at I do not know,but he said its to early!!!!!!!

All the global models indicate some weakening of the ridge later in the week, so it makes sense that if Dennis moves slower, he won't have got as far west when the ridge breaks down north of him, and thus he would go more to the right.

Whether it's going to happen that way, I can't tell you.

Jan

Well, it made a little sence to what he was talking about but when he said some of the models are now show little right,but its to early.