How much of a weakness will there be as Cindy heads NE across the SE states? "Typically", ridging is well enough established in July that early season storms proprogate west from the carribean and head towards Mexico and maybe Texas. A Notable exception July 5, 1916 100mph cane hit the Pensacola/Mobile area after originating from the carribean.
I think we have 2 solutions here:
(1) Dennis continues wnw across Jamaica,Western Cuba and heads for the central gulf coast and or the panhandle due to the weakness left behind by Cindy.
(2) Cindy knocks the heights down more significantly across the SE and Fl which in turn no pun intended:) causes Dennis to slow to a crawl over or just south of central/western Cuba. This situation would allow Dennis to follow the path of least resistance and head nnw/n possibly over the Keys and Florida peninsula. IE. Cleo in 1965
12z NAM alludes to my 2nd scenatio thinking....
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
Key factor regarding Dennis is Cindy..
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