99 mph wind gust on an Oil Rig NE of Ctr.

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

99 mph wind gust on an Oil Rig NE of Ctr.

#1 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Jul 05, 2005 7:49 pm

Cindy has to be a Hurricane with this recent explosion of convection.
0 likes   

jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#2 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 7:52 pm

This was observed at a 150 foot tower, the standard observations seen for official data is 10m.

This is highly skewed because of the height it was taken.

*Corrected*
Last edited by jkt21787 on Tue Jul 05, 2005 7:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 05, 2005 7:54 pm

This is about as close to a 75 mph hurricane. 99 Mph gust at 150 feet. Yes it is screwed but that is not likely to be under the strongest part of the storm. Its pretty hard or lucky/Unlucky to get into the area of strongest winds.
0 likes   

User avatar
Sean in New Orleans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:26 pm
Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
Contact:

#4 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Tue Jul 05, 2005 7:57 pm

Why didn't the NHC not post Hurricane Watches or even Warnings?? Reports are coming in from Louisiana's Coastline and they are truly getting hammered right now. I definitely think that we have a Category 1 approaching our shore, and to be honest, I'm pretty conservative in my analysis.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 05, 2005 7:58 pm

I agree sean in New orleans.
0 likes   

User avatar
Lowpressure
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2032
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 9:17 am
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

#6 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:43 pm

I agree, based on a 99 mph gust report and the structure, this is very close to cat 1. Would not be at all surprised to see 80 mph reports somewhere in the landfall area. Eye still appears to be trying to form on IR.
0 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#7 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:49 pm

gkrangers wrote:
drezee wrote:
gkrangers wrote:
drezee wrote:128
WTNT63 KNHC 051917
TCUAT3
TROPICAL STORM CINDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
220 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005

DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
WINDS IN CINDY ARE NEAR 70 MPH. LITTLE ADDITIONAL CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.

FORECASTER PASCH
That about sums things up...they are going to keep Cindy as a TS.


no matter what? :roll: :roll: :wink:
Thats what it sounds like. The NHC guys probably are expecting a ton of hurricanes this season and they don't want to bust on their predictions, so Cindy stays a TS. ;)

I guess they could upgrade it if they found really strong winds (over 80mph), but I don't think they will after a statement like that.


I guess they wanted 100 mph?? :roll: :roll: :roll:
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane, wwizard and 594 guests