Cindy looks serious on satellite

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Stormcenter
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Cindy looks serious on satellite

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Jul 05, 2005 8:58 pm

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#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:01 pm

It looks very serious. In with those reports of 99 to 100 mph gust. In with this more oreganized ever. It could be a #$#%%$!
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#3 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:01 pm

Yep...looks like the LLC is real close to the coast now if not there already judging by the radar. Due south of NO.
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#4 Postby gatorcane » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:02 pm

It looks very serious. In with those reports of 99 to 100 mph gust. In with this more oreganized ever. It could be a #$#%%$!


It's going to weaken the Atlantic ridge I'm afraid :eek:
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Re: Cindy looks serious on satellite

#5 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:02 pm

Stormcenter wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html


I keep trying to pinch off one of those rain bands and move it over here.... :lol:
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#6 Postby Ixolib » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:03 pm

Agree. There's a definite surge in convection in these last hours before landfall...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/visir/atlantic/visirjava1.html
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#7 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:09 pm

Ixolib wrote:Agree. There's a definite surge in convection in these last hours before landfall...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/visir/atlantic/visirjava1.html


That's a bookmarkably great link. Thanks.
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#8 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:12 pm

she is a cane...has too be...look at this bouy report...near the center

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spll1
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#9 Postby dhweather » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:14 pm

deltadog03 wrote:she is a cane...has too be...look at this bouy report...near the center

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spll1


Yep. Check the graph!

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php? ... wdpr&uom=E
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#10 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:16 pm

Delt I agree. 67 knots at 120 feet. In almost 80 knot gust. We never found a 1 minute wind with in Arlene of any where near 60 knots. But with in a small area there it was. I'm thinking this storm has 75 to 80 mph winds max at this moment. You don't found winds over hurricane force at buoys/c-stations with in the small area that they cover in not declare it a hurricane.
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#11 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:17 pm

dhweather wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:she is a cane...has too be...look at this bouy report...near the center

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=spll1


Yep. Check the graph!

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php? ... wdpr&uom=E



I agree its in the eyewall.
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#12 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:17 pm

Radio NHCWX are already writing it off. "It wasn't a hurricane".
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#13 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:19 pm

So was Guston or Erika. :roll:
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#14 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:20 pm

NHC made a bigggg booboo...and there are underestimating dennis too
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#15 Postby Ixolib » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:21 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Delt I agree. 67 knots at 120 feet. In almost 80 knot gust. We never found a 1 minute wind with in Arlene of any where near 60 knots. But with in a small area there it was. I'm thinking this storm has 75 to 80 mph winds max at this moment. You don't found winds over hurricane force at buoys/c-stations with in the small area that they cover in not declare it a hurricane.


Re-analysis will probably go there. But at this late juncture, seems the NHC call is to just leave well enough alone.
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#16 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:22 pm

I was also reading the discussion at 2pm pst/5pm est. In the recon found some 64 knot winds. But they said they where over est. It is now stronger then it was 6 hours ago. In the buoys show that it has these winds over a large enough area.
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#17 Postby Ixolib » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:28 pm

AL Chili Pepper wrote:
Ixolib wrote:Agree. There's a definite surge in convection in these last hours before landfall...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/visir/atlantic/visirjava1.html


That's a bookmarkably great link. Thanks.


Love that word "bookmarkably" :lol: . You're welcome. They had some wonderful hi-res loops of last year's storms too.
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#18 Postby Normandy » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:30 pm

And as good as Cindy looks, Dennis looks even better.
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#19 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:31 pm

Sorry, Cindy remains a Tropical Storm.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#20 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 05, 2005 9:33 pm

Not by the buoys. In which case 9 out of 10 gulf storms the buoys never show the strongest winds.(Not in the right place mostly) Arlene would only be with out recon a 40 mph tropical storm.

That 997 millibar report must be a misob. Or the other was likely wrong to start with.
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