Dennis will pass just south of Jamaica.

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Anonymous

Dennis will pass just south of Jamaica.

#1 Postby Anonymous » Wed Jul 06, 2005 7:12 am

and not north of the island between Jamaica and Cuba as shown in the latest forecast tracks. When looking at the latest visible loops, overlay the forecast plots and he is already south of where the plots show him to be. He is moving too fast and will pass just south of the island. The latest visible loops show this clearly.
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Wed Jul 06, 2005 7:14 am

I agree. The ridge is holding strong and will keep this mostly on a w/wnw track.
0 likes   
Top
Deenac813
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 788
Joined: Sat Sep 06, 2003 5:16 pm
Location: Hollywood, Florida

#3 Postby Deenac813 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 7:17 am

I hope you are right. That is what I am looking for.. No offense to anyone else :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10252
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

#4 Postby Blown Away » Wed Jul 06, 2005 7:20 am

Not by my plots, extremely close to Haiti is my call.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:
Contact wx247

#5 Postby wx247 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 7:26 am

Blown_away wrote:Not by my plots, extremely close to Haiti is my call.


The center???
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#6 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:44 am

He's not going North of Jamaica... that's obvious.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:
Contact dhweather

#7 Postby dhweather » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:03 am

Brent wrote:He's not going North of Jamaica... that's obvious.


pessimist! :lol:
0 likes   
Top
bbadon
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 190
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 7:21 am
Location: Johnson Bayou, LA
Contact:
Contact bbadon

#8 Postby bbadon » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:53 am

I just do not see a 290 heading right now. It is more like 275-280. What are your thoughts.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

#9 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:54 am

i agree, its heading more west than north
0 likes   
Top
raynpa
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 105
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 7:52 am

#10 Postby raynpa » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:57 am

almost due west........does anyone remember hurricane Gilbert?
0 likes   
Top
gkrangers

#11 Postby gkrangers » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:00 am

raynpa wrote:almost due west........does anyone remember hurricane Gilbert?
Shhhhhhhh!
0 likes   
Top
Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

#12 Postby Air Force Met » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:02 am

raynpa wrote:almost due west........does anyone remember hurricane Gilbert?


oooo...wirty dord
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
baygirl_1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 825
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:06 pm
Location: Mobile, AL

#13 Postby baygirl_1 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:05 am

gkrangers wrote:
raynpa wrote:almost due west........does anyone remember hurricane Gilbert?
Shhhhhhhh!

amen!! i hereby order that i do not want to hear any mention of gilbert, mitch, or camille in discussions of dennis!! :eek: :wink: :sick:
0 likes   
Top
raynpa
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 105
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 7:52 am

#14 Postby raynpa » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:09 am

MAYBE NOT THE INTENSITY OF GILBERT...BUT GILBERT WAS FORECASTED TO MAKE A TURN ....AND IT NEVER DID.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
flashflood
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 187
Joined: Tue Nov 09, 2004 12:30 pm
Location: S. FL

#15 Postby flashflood » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:18 am

Quite a few people said that the TS will go south of Jamaica over the past few days. The experts and models don't seem to agree. It looks as thought it's just about to run out of time if would actually do that. It will be interesting to see what the next NHC track will do.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ola
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 299
Joined: Mon Apr 21, 2003 11:24 pm
Location: Dorado, Puerto Rico

#16 Postby Ola » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:23 am

I think you guys are just looking at the convection and assuming movement. Do not be fooled by the look of the convection. NHC are not stupid, they have been calling for this track for a while now and all the time, ppl in here are saying no way. Well it has gained latitude like they called, and even though its not garanteed, I would put my money on th NHC track in the short term.

PS i think it is right on track to pass very close to the north coast of Jamaica.
0 likes   
Top
raynpa
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 105
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 7:52 am

#17 Postby raynpa » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:24 am

Im starting to wonder if this will turn north at all.....it still has time to turn..........
0 likes   
Top
Johnny
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1428
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:35 pm
Location: No Snow For You, Texas

#18 Postby Johnny » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:25 am

Dennis will pass just south of Jamaica.



Agreed.
0 likes   
Top
dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#19 Postby dwg71 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:26 am

Agreed...even if it passes over Jamaica, your not talking a huge change from NHC track. Now if it passes 150 miles south of the island, all bets are off.

I will be the first to admit, I was wrong, but I dont see it going south of the island.
0 likes   
Top
ncweatherwizard
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1243
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Ft. Collins, CO

#20 Postby ncweatherwizard » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:34 am

Not directly toward anybody particular, but it doesn't need to turn to go north of Jamaica; it's already on a heading so that it will move along the north coast of Jamaica if it stays on a straight line. Careful not to misjudge the location of the center. :)
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: wwizard and 660 guests