I would like some input by the pro mets on the board regarding the current structure of Dennis. Looking at the IR loops, to my untrained eyes, I see the convection looking much less impressive overall than last night. Instead of a single CDO with intense cold cloud tops (like we had last night), I see a more ragged satellite presentation. Sure, there is still some good convection firing, but the CDO is no longer there. I see a bunch of popcorn-type convective bursts scattered around the circulation center. In my opinion, Dennis is not quite ready to explode intensity-wise.
Any one else see what I see?
--Lou
Pro Mets Opinion On Dennis' Overall Structure??
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wx247
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I suggest looking in the first forum here for the expert opinions. They are posted there regularly when they make forecasts. This thread gets littered pretty easily. There are a lot of "non-experts" here who know what they are talking about but if you want someone who is official, that forum was created for that sole purpose. 
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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weatherwindow
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good morning.......i believe that dennis is in transition from a solid CDO to the formation of a banding type eye. the changes that you see, the erosion of the CDO, are part of that process. it is the precursor to innermost rainband wrapping the center to create the eyewall. we will see an eye very shortly IMHO...................rich
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Tommedic
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CDO change
Yes, I believe he is right. We are beginning to see a transition into an eye feature.
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All:
Just want to enhance the discussion of what's CDO vs banding vs eye, etc.
Take a look at this link from Chris Landsea's FAQ:
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A9.html
A CDO is a cloud shield--think of it as indicative of a ball of convection over the center. A fully formed storm has an impressive CDO. The CDO contains the eye.
Banding features happen too, yes, but an eye and a CDO go hand in hand.
Just want to enhance the discussion of what's CDO vs banding vs eye, etc.
Take a look at this link from Chris Landsea's FAQ:
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A9.html
A CDO is a cloud shield--think of it as indicative of a ball of convection over the center. A fully formed storm has an impressive CDO. The CDO contains the eye.
Banding features happen too, yes, but an eye and a CDO go hand in hand.
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