Tropical Storm Dennis
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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wx247
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BAMD is Target: New Orleans this morning, isn't it?
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Joe B thinks Dennis will continue WNW and pass over the W tip of Cuba or even the Yucatan Channel on its way to LA. He is also concerned about the environment very good for intensification until landfall.
I believe the Middle TX Coast eastward to Pensacola could feel the effects of Dennis due to its large size. We just want a few feederbands to give us rain along the Upper TX Coast.
I believe the Middle TX Coast eastward to Pensacola could feel the effects of Dennis due to its large size. We just want a few feederbands to give us rain along the Upper TX Coast.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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cycloneye
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KatDaddy wrote:Joe B thinks Dennis will continue WNW and pass over the W tip of Cuba or even the Yucatan Channel on its way to LA. He is also concerned about the environment very good for intensification until landfall.
I believe the Middle TX Coast eastward to Pensacola could feel the effects of Dennis due to its large size. We just want a few feederbands to give us rain along the Upper TX Coast.
Rain and nothing more than that is what Texas needs now.
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cycloneye
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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS (AL042005) ON 20050706 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050706 1200 050707 0000 050707 1200 050708 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.2N 70.9W 16.4N 73.3W 17.6N 75.7W 18.9N 77.8W
BAMM 15.2N 70.9W 16.6N 73.4W 17.9N 75.9W 19.2N 78.2W
A98E 15.2N 70.9W 16.3N 73.3W 17.6N 75.5W 19.1N 77.6W
LBAR 15.2N 70.9W 16.5N 73.4W 17.9N 76.1W 19.3N 78.7W
SHIP 60KTS 70KTS 80KTS 90KTS
DSHP 60KTS 70KTS 80KTS 90KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050708 1200 050709 1200 050710 1200 050711 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.1N 79.9W 22.5N 83.1W 25.7N 86.3W 30.2N 89.9W
BAMM 20.4N 80.4W 22.8N 84.0W 25.6N 87.4W 28.7N 90.6W
A98E 20.8N 79.6W 23.6N 83.7W 27.2N 86.3W 31.8N 87.8W
LBAR 20.8N 81.1W 24.1N 84.7W 27.9N 86.8W 30.5N 89.5W
SHIP 98KTS 110KTS 108KTS 97KTS
DSHP 98KTS 104KTS 102KTS 90KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.2N LONCUR = 70.9W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 14.3N LONM12 = 68.5W DIRM12 = 293DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 13.1N LONM24 = 65.8W
WNDCUR = 60KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 991MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 75NM RD34SW = 25NM RD34NW = 75NM
The ship intensity guidance has been added.They go up to 110kts.
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050706 1200 050707 0000 050707 1200 050708 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.2N 70.9W 16.4N 73.3W 17.6N 75.7W 18.9N 77.8W
BAMM 15.2N 70.9W 16.6N 73.4W 17.9N 75.9W 19.2N 78.2W
A98E 15.2N 70.9W 16.3N 73.3W 17.6N 75.5W 19.1N 77.6W
LBAR 15.2N 70.9W 16.5N 73.4W 17.9N 76.1W 19.3N 78.7W
SHIP 60KTS 70KTS 80KTS 90KTS
DSHP 60KTS 70KTS 80KTS 90KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050708 1200 050709 1200 050710 1200 050711 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.1N 79.9W 22.5N 83.1W 25.7N 86.3W 30.2N 89.9W
BAMM 20.4N 80.4W 22.8N 84.0W 25.6N 87.4W 28.7N 90.6W
A98E 20.8N 79.6W 23.6N 83.7W 27.2N 86.3W 31.8N 87.8W
LBAR 20.8N 81.1W 24.1N 84.7W 27.9N 86.8W 30.5N 89.5W
SHIP 98KTS 110KTS 108KTS 97KTS
DSHP 98KTS 104KTS 102KTS 90KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.2N LONCUR = 70.9W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 14.3N LONM12 = 68.5W DIRM12 = 293DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 13.1N LONM24 = 65.8W
WNDCUR = 60KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 991MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 75NM RD34SW = 25NM RD34NW = 75NM
The ship intensity guidance has been added.They go up to 110kts.
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Air Force Met
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KatDaddy wrote:Joe B thinks Dennis will continue WNW and pass over the W tip of Cuba or even the Yucatan Channel on its way to LA. He is also concerned about the environment very good for intensification until landfall.
I believe the Middle TX Coast eastward to Pensacola could feel the effects of Dennis due to its large size. We just want a few feederbands to give us rain along the Upper TX Coast.
just ONE feeder band. I need some rain. My yard looks like its December.
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CaptinCrunch
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005
...ADDED MISSING TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...
...DENNIS CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR
EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO
DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN.
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT
255 MILES... 410 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
AND ABOUT 440 MILES... 710 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS
TRACK...DENNIS WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA EARLY THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 65 MPH... 100 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...15.2 N... 70.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005
...ADDED MISSING TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...
...DENNIS CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR
EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO
DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN.
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT
255 MILES... 410 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
AND ABOUT 440 MILES... 710 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS
TRACK...DENNIS WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA EARLY THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 65 MPH... 100 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...15.2 N... 70.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
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feederband
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Air Force Met wrote:KatDaddy wrote:Joe B thinks Dennis will continue WNW and pass over the W tip of Cuba or even the Yucatan Channel on its way to LA. He is also concerned about the environment very good for intensification until landfall.
I believe the Middle TX Coast eastward to Pensacola could feel the effects of Dennis due to its large size. We just want a few feederbands to give us rain along the Upper TX Coast.
just ONE feeder band. I need some rain. My yard looks like its December.
You want me to come over?
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Rainband
I'll pick you up on the wayfeederband wrote:Air Force Met wrote:KatDaddy wrote:Joe B thinks Dennis will continue WNW and pass over the W tip of Cuba or even the Yucatan Channel on its way to LA. He is also concerned about the environment very good for intensification until landfall.
I believe the Middle TX Coast eastward to Pensacola could feel the effects of Dennis due to its large size. We just want a few feederbands to give us rain along the Upper TX Coast.
just ONE feeder band. I need some rain. My yard looks like its December.
You want me to come over?
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jlauderdal
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skysummit wrote:I would be much more confortable right now if all models had a beeline for New Orleans....that way they could change at the last minute. I never wish a a storm on anyone, but after seeing what Cindy did last night, a major hurricane in New Orleans would destroy the city.
Being in the bullseye 4-5 days out is exactly where you want to be if you want to avoid a direct hit.
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weatherwindow
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loon, that brings to mind the little southerly jog, executed by both charley and ivan, which took them around but not over jamaica. ....was a head scratcher...something about the interaction of the convection and the vertical relief of the island....just an aside, that said, i agree that unless we see a more northerly component soon, it will pas south of the island......rich
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HURAKAN
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weatherwindow wrote:loon, that brings to mind the little southerly jog, executed by both charley and ivan, which took them around but not over jamaica. ....was a head scratcher...something about the interaction of the convection and the vertical relief of the island....just an aside, that said, i agree that unless we see a more northerly component soon, it will pas south of the island......rich
Or over it.
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TreasureIslandFLGal
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NAM seems to think that it will go north of it. It predicts that Dennis will start his more northerly component by this evening. Hopefully all poo poo! -that wouldn't be a good thing for Florida, unless where it crosses Cuba could deintensify it a lot!
-but this is the NAM, and can it be trusted?
-but this is the NAM, and can it be trusted?
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cycloneye
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11 AM EDT advisory in a few minutes will be posted.
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HouTXmetro
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Brent
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Tropical Storm Dennis Forecast/Advisory Number 7
Statement as of 15:00Z on July 06, 2005
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica and for the
southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic border.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the southern coast of the
Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican
Republic border.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the government of Cuba has extended the
Hurricane Watch westward to include The Provinces of Sancti
Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...and Camaguey. A Hurricane Watch is now
in effect for the Cayman Islands and for central and eastern
Cuba...for The Provinces of Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de
Avila...Camaguey...Las Tunas...Granma...Santiago de
Cuba...Guantanamo and Holguin.
Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea should monitor
the progress of this system.
Tropical storm center located near 15.4n 71.5w at 06/1500z
position accurate within 30 nm
present movement toward the west-northwest or 290 degrees at 13 kt
estimated minimum central pressure 991 mb
Max sustained winds 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt.
50 kt....... 25ne 25se 0sw 25nw.
34 kt....... 75ne 75se 25sw 75nw.
12 ft seas.. 75ne 75se 75sw 75nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat...center located near 15.4n 71.5w at 06/1500z
at 06/1200z center was located near 15.1n 70.9w
forecast valid 07/0000z 16.5n 73.5w
Max wind 65 kt...gusts 80 kt.
64 kt... 20ne 20se 20sw 20nw.
50 kt... 30ne 30se 30sw 30nw.
34 kt... 75ne 75se 50sw 75nw.
Forecast valid 07/1200z 18.1n 76.1w
Max wind 75 kt...gusts 90 kt.
64 kt... 20ne 20se 20sw 20nw.
50 kt... 35ne 30se 30sw 30nw.
34 kt... 75ne 75se 50sw 75nw.
Forecast valid 08/0000z 19.8n 78.7w
Max wind 90 kt...gusts 110 kt.
64 kt... 25ne 25se 25sw 25nw.
50 kt... 50ne 50se 50sw 50nw.
34 kt...100ne 100se 100sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 08/1200z 21.1n 80.9w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
50 kt... 50ne 50se 50sw 50nw.
34 kt...120ne 120se 100sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 09/1200z 23.5n 84.0w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
50 kt... 75ne 75se 75sw 75nw.
34 kt...140ne 140se 100sw 140nw.
Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day
outlook valid 10/1200z 27.0n 85.5w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
Outlook valid 11/1200z 30.5n 87.0w...inland
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 15.4n 71.5w
next advisory at 06/2100z
forecaster Knabb
Statement as of 15:00Z on July 06, 2005
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica and for the
southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic border.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the southern coast of the
Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican
Republic border.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the government of Cuba has extended the
Hurricane Watch westward to include The Provinces of Sancti
Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...and Camaguey. A Hurricane Watch is now
in effect for the Cayman Islands and for central and eastern
Cuba...for The Provinces of Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de
Avila...Camaguey...Las Tunas...Granma...Santiago de
Cuba...Guantanamo and Holguin.
Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea should monitor
the progress of this system.
Tropical storm center located near 15.4n 71.5w at 06/1500z
position accurate within 30 nm
present movement toward the west-northwest or 290 degrees at 13 kt
estimated minimum central pressure 991 mb
Max sustained winds 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt.
50 kt....... 25ne 25se 0sw 25nw.
34 kt....... 75ne 75se 25sw 75nw.
12 ft seas.. 75ne 75se 75sw 75nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat...center located near 15.4n 71.5w at 06/1500z
at 06/1200z center was located near 15.1n 70.9w
forecast valid 07/0000z 16.5n 73.5w
Max wind 65 kt...gusts 80 kt.
64 kt... 20ne 20se 20sw 20nw.
50 kt... 30ne 30se 30sw 30nw.
34 kt... 75ne 75se 50sw 75nw.
Forecast valid 07/1200z 18.1n 76.1w
Max wind 75 kt...gusts 90 kt.
64 kt... 20ne 20se 20sw 20nw.
50 kt... 35ne 30se 30sw 30nw.
34 kt... 75ne 75se 50sw 75nw.
Forecast valid 08/0000z 19.8n 78.7w
Max wind 90 kt...gusts 110 kt.
64 kt... 25ne 25se 25sw 25nw.
50 kt... 50ne 50se 50sw 50nw.
34 kt...100ne 100se 100sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 08/1200z 21.1n 80.9w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
50 kt... 50ne 50se 50sw 50nw.
34 kt...120ne 120se 100sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 09/1200z 23.5n 84.0w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
50 kt... 75ne 75se 75sw 75nw.
34 kt...140ne 140se 100sw 140nw.
Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day
outlook valid 10/1200z 27.0n 85.5w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
Outlook valid 11/1200z 30.5n 87.0w...inland
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 15.4n 71.5w
next advisory at 06/2100z
forecaster Knabb
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chris_fit
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..Dennis a little stronger and nearing hurricane intensity...
...Hurricane Watch extended westward to include portions of central
Cuba...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica and for the
southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic border.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the southern coast of the
Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican
Republic border.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the government of Cuba has extended the
Hurricane Watch westward to include The Provinces of Sancti
Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...and Camaguey. A Hurricane Watch is now
in effect for the Cayman Islands and for central and eastern
Cuba...for The Provinces of Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de
Avila...Camaguey...Las Tunas...Granma...Santiago de
Cuba...Guantanamo and Holguin.
Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea should monitor
the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Dennis was
located near latitude 15.4 north... longitude 71.5 west or about
225 miles... 365 km... south-southeast of Port au Prince Haiti and
about 395 miles... 635 km...east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica.
Dennis is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph ...24
km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue during the
next 24 hours. On this track...Dennis will be near Jamaica early
Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24
hours...and Dennis could become a hurricane later today or tonight.
An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate Dennis this afternoon.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles
...140 km from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb...29.26 inches.
Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches over southern Hispaniola...Jamaica...eastern Cuba...and the
Cayman Islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible
over the mountainous terrain of Jamaica. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 11 am EDT position...15.4 N... 71.5 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 991 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 PM
EDT.
Forecaster Knabb
$$
...Hurricane Watch extended westward to include portions of central
Cuba...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica and for the
southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic border.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the southern coast of the
Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican
Republic border.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the government of Cuba has extended the
Hurricane Watch westward to include The Provinces of Sancti
Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...and Camaguey. A Hurricane Watch is now
in effect for the Cayman Islands and for central and eastern
Cuba...for The Provinces of Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de
Avila...Camaguey...Las Tunas...Granma...Santiago de
Cuba...Guantanamo and Holguin.
Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea should monitor
the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Dennis was
located near latitude 15.4 north... longitude 71.5 west or about
225 miles... 365 km... south-southeast of Port au Prince Haiti and
about 395 miles... 635 km...east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica.
Dennis is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph ...24
km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue during the
next 24 hours. On this track...Dennis will be near Jamaica early
Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24
hours...and Dennis could become a hurricane later today or tonight.
An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate Dennis this afternoon.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles
...140 km from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb...29.26 inches.
Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches over southern Hispaniola...Jamaica...eastern Cuba...and the
Cayman Islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible
over the mountainous terrain of Jamaica. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 11 am EDT position...15.4 N... 71.5 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 991 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 PM
EDT.
Forecaster Knabb
$$
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Brent
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Tropical Storm Dennis Advisory Number 7
Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on July 06, 2005
...Dennis a little stronger and nearing hurricane intensity...
...Hurricane Watch extended westward to include portions of central
Cuba...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica and for the
southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic border.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the southern coast of the
Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican
Republic border.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the government of Cuba has extended the
Hurricane Watch westward to include The Provinces of Sancti
Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...and Camaguey. A Hurricane Watch is now
in effect for the Cayman Islands and for central and eastern
Cuba...for The Provinces of Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de
Avila...Camaguey...Las Tunas...Granma...Santiago de
Cuba...Guantanamo and Holguin.
Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea should monitor
the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Dennis was
located near latitude 15.4 north... longitude 71.5 west or about
225 miles... 365 km... south-southeast of Port au Prince Haiti and
about 395 miles... 635 km...east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica.
Dennis is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph ...24
km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue during the
next 24 hours. On this track...Dennis will be near Jamaica early
Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24
hours...and Dennis could become a hurricane later today or tonight.
An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate Dennis this afternoon.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles
...140 km from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb...29.26 inches.
Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches over southern Hispaniola...Jamaica...eastern Cuba...and the
Cayman Islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible
over the mountainous terrain of Jamaica. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 11 am EDT position...15.4 N... 71.5 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 991 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 PM
EDT.
Forecaster Knabb
Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on July 06, 2005
...Dennis a little stronger and nearing hurricane intensity...
...Hurricane Watch extended westward to include portions of central
Cuba...
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica and for the
southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Dominican Republic border.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the southern coast of the
Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the Haiti-Dominican
Republic border.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the government of Cuba has extended the
Hurricane Watch westward to include The Provinces of Sancti
Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...and Camaguey. A Hurricane Watch is now
in effect for the Cayman Islands and for central and eastern
Cuba...for The Provinces of Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de
Avila...Camaguey...Las Tunas...Granma...Santiago de
Cuba...Guantanamo and Holguin.
Interests in the central and western Caribbean Sea should monitor
the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 11 am EDT...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Dennis was
located near latitude 15.4 north... longitude 71.5 west or about
225 miles... 365 km... south-southeast of Port au Prince Haiti and
about 395 miles... 635 km...east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica.
Dennis is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph ...24
km/hr...and this general motion is expected to continue during the
next 24 hours. On this track...Dennis will be near Jamaica early
Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24
hours...and Dennis could become a hurricane later today or tonight.
An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate Dennis this afternoon.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles
...140 km from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb...29.26 inches.
Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches over southern Hispaniola...Jamaica...eastern Cuba...and the
Cayman Islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible
over the mountainous terrain of Jamaica. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 11 am EDT position...15.4 N... 71.5 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 991 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 2 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 PM
EDT.
Forecaster Knabb
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