MONSTER wave moving off Africa

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Weatherboy1
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MONSTER wave moving off Africa

#1 Postby Weatherboy1 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:20 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

We're all focused on Dennis, and rightfully so. But has anyone had time to look at the latest wave moving off the African coast. Ay carumba (SP?)! It's typically too early to look for a CV wave to develop that far out. But it's not completely unheard of. Bertha formed very far east on July 5 in 1996, for instance. And this is one monster of a wave. Plus, it's moving offshore in a season where the environment already looks more like August or September than early July. SSTs are way above average and shear is relatively low ...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8sht.html

Just something to keep an eye on. Good luck to anyone who ends up in Dennis' path.

-Mike
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Normandy
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#2 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:21 pm

Yea someone alluded to this earlier...looks good.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:23 pm

What we have to look for is if this wave mantains it's signature well intact because a good deal of the convection will fade.There is a hint of a low around 10n or maybe it is a mesocyclone low.But yes agree that the pattern out there resembles more like august than july.
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#4 Postby jrod » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:40 pm

I would bet on this one getting named. You can see the northern half falling apart b/c of the cooler waters on that half is educated guess on it. I thought the one before had some potential but this one look much more impressive.
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Scorpion

#5 Postby Scorpion » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:41 pm

If it keeps up I wouldnt discount a FL threat with those one.
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#6 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:41 pm

Emily?

:eek:

Could this mean the beginning of Cape Verde?
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#7 Postby BonesXL » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:45 pm

:eek: :eek:
Looking very scary indeed. Even the shape of it is impressive.
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#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:46 pm

The Enviroment is getting Favable fast over the Cape verde areas. Only a small area of 30 knot shear south of 10 north. North of there it is favable. Maybe some dry air but really not to much. Waters look warm enough to support something.
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#9 Postby baitism » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:46 pm

Scorpion wrote:If it keeps up I wouldnt discount a FL threat with those one.


I dont know about that. Its barely 100 miles off the African coast.
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Scorpion

#10 Postby Scorpion » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:50 pm

With a strong Bermuda High and favorable conditions who knows.
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#11 Postby Buck » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:52 pm

reminds me of when Ivan came off the coast of Africa.
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UKMET.....New tropical system out of the African Wave...

#12 Postby Weathermaster » Wed Jul 06, 2005 4:02 pm

Taking in consideration the time of the year this wave looks very impresive.

Here is what UKMET says:

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS

FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 9.7N 19.5W



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

00UTC 07.07.2005 9.7N 19.5W WEAK

12UTC 07.07.2005 10.3N 21.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 08.07.2005 10.8N 24.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 08.07.2005 11.2N 26.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 09.07.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
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Scorpion

#13 Postby Scorpion » Wed Jul 06, 2005 4:04 pm

I wonder when this will get an invest.
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