Recon Reports Dennis

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senorpepr
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#141 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:50 pm

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 08
Time: 1924Z
Latitude: 14.6°N
Longitude: 71.0°W
Location: 160 mi NNW of Oranjestad, Aruba
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: SSW (210°) @ 54 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 43°F
Weather: Overcast Skies
700mb height: 10300 feet
Surface Wind: S (190°) @ 35 mph
Remarks: None
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#142 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:11 pm

Observation Number: 09
Time: 19:50:40Z
Latitude: 15.8°N
Longitude: 72.1°W
Location: 191 mi S of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Minimum height at NA mb 2981 m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: 35 mph
Maximum flight level wind: SW (228°) @ 61 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 24 mi SSE (147°)
Sea level pressure: 987 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 46°F at 10020 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 55°F at 10000 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 52°F
Eye character: OPEN NW
Eye shape: Elliptical
Eye diameter: Major axis oriented NE (45°), major axis length: 40 mi, minor axis length: 29 mi
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at Surface
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 2 nm
MAX FL WIND 58 KT N QUAD 18:07:50 Z
SEA SFC OBSCD FOR MOST OF INBOUND LEG
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Derek Ortt

#143 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:13 pm

the sup vortex message will determine for sure whether or not this is a cane as it will report the winds from the NE quad
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#144 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:15 pm

Here comes Dennis The Menace :eek:
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#145 Postby loon » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:16 pm

senorpepr wrote:Observation Number: 09
Time: 19:50:40Z
Latitude: 15.8°N
Longitude: 72.1°W
Location: 191 mi S of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Minimum height at NA mb 2981 m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: 35 mph
Maximum flight level wind: SW (228°) @ 61 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 24 mi SSE (147°)
Sea level pressure: 987 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 46°F at 10020 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 55°F at 10000 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 52°F
Eye character: OPEN NW
Eye shape: Elliptical
Eye diameter: Major axis oriented NE (45°), major axis length: 40 mi, minor axis length: 29 mi
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at Surface
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 2 nm
MAX FL WIND 58 KT N QUAD 18:07:50 Z
SEA SFC OBSCD FOR MOST OF INBOUND LEG


Would this be the center? 15.8N 72.1W

versus 15.7N and 71.9W on the last fix?

.1 to .2, I would say, atleast for this short period, WNW has become more NW
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#146 Postby senorpepr » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:17 pm

loon wrote:Would this be the center? 15.8N 72.1W

versus 15.7N and 71.9W on the last fix?

.1 to .2, I would say, atleast for this short period, WNW has become more NW

Yes... that's the lastest fix.
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Does data support NW movement

#147 Postby Tommedic » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:19 pm

I guess the big question is whether the recon data supports WNW or NW movement.
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#148 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:21 pm

Observation Number: 10
Time: 2007Z
Position: 15.8 N / 72.1 W
Sea Level Pressure: 987 mb
Surface wind speed and direction: 8 knots / 220
925 millibar height: 573 m
925 millibar winds: 6 knots / 250
850 millibar height: 1311 m
850 millibar winds: 7 knots / 260

Eye Dropsonde
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EarthStormFire

#149 Postby EarthStormFire » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:22 pm

Looks like Dennis is weakening, tobad too.
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#150 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:23 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:Looks like Dennis is weakening, tobad too.

What?!
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Anonymous

#151 Postby Anonymous » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:23 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:Looks like Dennis is weakening, tobad too.


Weakening? The pressure has dropped from 991 mb to 987 mb.
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#152 Postby loon » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:24 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:Looks like Dennis is weakening, tobad too.


Hrm....I'll go ahead and get my vote in to nominate this as the most confusing quote of the day....

cheers
loon
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#153 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:25 pm

Observation Number:11
Time:2007Z
Position: 16.0N / 72.3 W
Sea Level Pressure: 993 mb
Surface wind speed and direction: 46 kts / 025
925 millibar height: 627 m
925 millibar winds: 45 knots / 050
850 millibar height: 1362 m
850 millibar winds: 43 kts / 045

Dropsonde a bit northeast of the eye
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#154 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:25 pm

He is getting stronger. He has finally formed a deep Cdo over its Center. This thing is finally starting to gets it act together. Maybe not a hurricane at 5pm but maybe at 11pm.
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Anonymous

#155 Postby Anonymous » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:25 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:Looks like Dennis is weakening, tobad too.


Why would you think it is weakening?
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#156 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:25 pm

I'll add that I'm sure he is just a troll, just ignore him.

We all know what the truth is...
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Derek Ortt

#157 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:25 pm

ok ok ok


when the pressure falls, the storm is not weakening. Plus, the SW quad is the weakest quad of them all. 50+KT at FL means very close to if not at min cane status
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#158 Postby margaritabeach » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:25 pm

EarthStormFire wrote:Looks like Dennis is weakening, tobad too.


Aren't those wind reading from inside the eye which would be naturally calmer?
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EarthStormFire

#159 Postby EarthStormFire » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:26 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:
EarthStormFire wrote:Looks like Dennis is weakening, tobad too.


Weakening? The pressure has dropped from 991 mb to 987 mb.


Oh, my mistake then.
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EarthStormFire

#160 Postby EarthStormFire » Wed Jul 06, 2005 3:27 pm

Thunder~n~Lightning wrote:
EarthStormFire wrote:Looks like Dennis is weakening, tobad too.


Why would you think it is weakening?


Because I could have sworn I read that its pressure was 961 before. I guess it was 991.
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