Nothing exciting to look at on the IR images in the W or NW quad of storm. almost looked like it was sheared on west flank, though I feel like it was a case of interaction with the land masses to the north.
In the last 2 hours, starting to see some decent tops building near alleged LLC, with a slight lean to the NW (??) at least I see this on the latest loops
It is quite bothersome that we have one model outlier NAM insisting on North component, when others have fallen in a bit of consensus to the WNW track through 48 hours
IF IF IF....the NE convection can get away from the mountains and wrap fully into the storm on W and NW side, we could see a prtty good deepening on Thursday..stay tuned.
Dennis looked bad all day, BUT......
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tracyswfla
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TPACane04
ahhh, the $64 question!
I think our indicator is where dennis is relative to Jamaica...an unforseen early NW motion takes it closer to Cuba, and all bets off with the current models trends...
if it hugs the north Jamaica coast, then everything is still in play...
so watch the 5pm advisory and the sat pics overnight and see how he walks the Jamaica tightrope...
I think our indicator is where dennis is relative to Jamaica...an unforseen early NW motion takes it closer to Cuba, and all bets off with the current models trends...
if it hugs the north Jamaica coast, then everything is still in play...
so watch the 5pm advisory and the sat pics overnight and see how he walks the Jamaica tightrope...
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tracyswfla
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TPACane04 wrote:ahhh, the $64 question!
I think our indicator is where dennis is relative to Jamaica...an unforseen early NW motion takes it closer to Cuba, and all bets off with the current models trends...
if it hugs the north Jamaica coast, then everything is still in play...
so watch the 5pm advisory and the sat pics overnight and see how he walks the Jamaica tightrope...
Thank you for your kind reply.
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tracyswfla
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rtd2 wrote:tracyswfla wrote:What are the implications for the projected track,if Dennis continues on a NW track for a period of time ILO of a WNW track?
Its on a NW track
Sorry, but that is a bit sarcastic. I live on the West Coast of Florida with 2 small children of whom I wish to protect with every inch of my life. I was asking a serious question.
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Pebbles
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I think the storm is developing nicely. Outflow is expanding and improving in all directions... convection is firing up nicely around the center. I am not sure why you say it looks bad. I think it's a fantastic looking tropical storm structure, slowly but surely developing hurricane characteristics. On visible it looks like it's becoming quite a lovely storm.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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