What models

[corpusbreeze]

are starting to trend west as the NHC commented on in their discussion? I cant find one.

[chris_fit]

are starting to trend west as the NHC commented on in their discussion? I cant find one.

Just about all

[Brent]

NHC track in red...

[jkt21787]

I know, its hard to believe some still think its coming to Florida.

Nothing is finalized yet, but chances are getting less and less drastically for that state. The ridge is quite strong, in fact it may be stronger than first predicted which implies even more west shifts.

[EarthStormFire]

It looks like New Orleans isn't out of the woods yet.

[corpusbreeze]

NHC track in red...

Thanks. I was thinking more of a abrupt turn to the left. Got it now, thanks.

[jkt21787]

It looks like New Orleans isn't out of the woods yet.

New Orleans is definitely a city of concern at this point.

[dhweather]

It should be noteworthy that A98E appears to be sane with Dennis.

What's up with that?? A98E was great model comic relief !!!

[jkt21787]

It should be noteworthy that A98E appears to be sane with Dennis.

What's up with that?? A98E was great model comic relief !!!

I know there have been few of those "crack-induced" tracks recently. I'm dissapointed! It was always a good stress reliever.

[cinlfla]

I know, its hard to believe some still think its coming to Florida

Just for the record I live in Florida but I don't think it's coming here. As a matter of fact I am thanking God that the models are trending west not that I wish our neighbor's to the west any harm. My husbands job depends on good weather. No work No pay!!!! I do however feel for those in its path.

[Brent]

I know, its hard to believe some still think its coming to Florida.

Nothing is finalized yet, but chances are getting less and less drastically for that state. The ridge is quite strong, in fact it may be stronger than first predicted which implies even more west shifts.

It's also hard to believe a great deal of Texans utterly believe it will come to them as well...however it's probably more likely Texas than it is Florida...or am I backwards...

I still think Florida has a much better chance than Texas ONLY because of the Panhandle. If this westward shift continues, that may need to be adjusted.

[jkt21787]

I know, its hard to believe some still think its coming to Florida.

Nothing is finalized yet, but chances are getting less and less drastically for that state. The ridge is quite strong, in fact it may be stronger than first predicted which implies even more west shifts.

It's also hard to believe a great deal of Texans utterly believe it will come to them as well...however it's probably more likely Texas than it is Florida...or am I backwards...

I agree. TX has a better chance than FL at this point. In my view, the strength of the ridge could very well determine whether this is a TX (likely upper coast if at all) storm or LA/MS storm.

[jkt21787]

I know, its hard to believe some still think its coming to Florida.

Nothing is finalized yet, but chances are getting less and less drastically for that state. The ridge is quite strong, in fact it may be stronger than first predicted which implies even more west shifts.

It's also hard to believe a great deal of Texans utterly believe it will come to them as well...however it's probably more likely Texas than it is Florida...or am I backwards...

I still think Florida has a much better chance than Texas ONLY because of the Panhandle. If this westward shift continues, that may need to be adjusted.

Added to my previous post, I will give you this, Brent. I won't completely rule out the Panhandle until another day or so.

[CFL]

This is the best news I've heard all day - get him out of my neighborhood!

[HurryKane]

It should be noteworthy that A98E appears to be sane with Dennis.

What's up with that?? A98E was great model comic relief !!!

I know there have been few of those "crack-induced" tracks recently. I'm dissapointed! It was always a good stress reliever.

No kidding. It must have just gotten paroled out of a stint at Parchman for good behavior.

[Brent]

I know, its hard to believe some still think its coming to Florida.

Nothing is finalized yet, but chances are getting less and less drastically for that state. The ridge is quite strong, in fact it may be stronger than first predicted which implies even more west shifts.

It's also hard to believe a great deal of Texans utterly believe it will come to them as well...however it's probably more likely Texas than it is Florida...or am I backwards...

I still think Florida has a much better chance than Texas ONLY because of the Panhandle. If this westward shift continues, that may need to be adjusted.

Added to my previous post, I will give you this, Brent. I won't completely rule out the Panhandle until another day or so.

I'm actually thinking a landfall like in Mobile where strong winds affect the Western Panhandle is still possible... but as of now, I think SE LA is the most likely place for landfall.

[Eyes2theSkies]

I am starting to feel safe keep it away. But I am sorry to say, my fellow floridians, I have a funny feeling that are turn is yet to come!!!!!!!!!

[Brent]

NHC track in red...

Thanks. I was thinking more of a abrupt turn to the left. Got it now, thanks.

Not that... at least yet. "Trending" normally means a shift westward over a series of runs. Just one run and then the next run back the way it was isn't a trend.

[southerngale]

I know, its hard to believe some still think its coming to Florida.

Nothing is finalized yet, but chances are getting less and less drastically for that state. The ridge is quite strong, in fact it may be stronger than first predicted which implies even more west shifts.

It's also hard to believe a great deal of Texans utterly believe it will come to them as well...however it's probably more likely Texas than it is Florida...or am I backwards...

I don't know anyone here who WANTS their home destroyed, but hey, that's just me.

And maybe some Texans "utterly" believe it's possible because some of the mets are saying so. (btw, I've seen nobody who "utterly" believes it). It looks like you missed my other reply to you earlier.

I don't think it will, but then again, I'm not a met. Everyone along the Gulf Coast should watch it closely as conditions are always changing.

[HouTXmetro]

The models are flip flopping by the hour. But consensus is this will be a Mouth of the Mississippi event. Most of the models are in strong agreement.