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Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.
Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html
Forecast 7:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... ennis.html
In a little less aggressive, I mean while in the GOM. Things are starting to shape up in the big picture, but calling exact points in kind of risky. Some shear could still affect Dennis once in the GOM, and that's why I hold the forecast; I'll wait to make a move with it, if necessary, tomorrow. However, I will say that the forecast is becoming more confident. This forecast is an extension of the previous one.
Other dilemma, I've volunteered to be the offical scorer at a Babe Ruth league baseball tournament this weekend, so I'm not sure what kind of schedule forecasts will be released. For verification purposes, I'd like to issue the same number of forecasts each day at regular intervals, but this won't be possible, so we'll see what happens. There will definitely be a 10AM, but I'm not sure when I'll be back in...nonetheless, tomorrow will be very interesting to see how things shape up.
Scott