11PM advisory predictions

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jhamps10

11PM advisory predictions

#1 Postby jhamps10 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:16 pm

we are 45 minutes away from 11PM advisory. Predictions on what wind speed is and will it hit Jamaica, or go north or south of Jamaica.
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#2 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:17 pm

90mph
South of Jamaca
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#3 Postby reeef » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:17 pm

south of jamica... and i predict it abck to wnw movement.. also i predict that jamica are surfing right now i wish i was :(
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#4 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:17 pm

90mph...south central jamaica....
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#5 Postby jhamps10 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:17 pm

to start off,

I will go 85-90 MPH.
It will go over the northern part of Jamaica sometime overnight or Early Thru. AM
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#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:19 pm

110 mph right through the northern side of Jamaica. Its pressure is now down to 980 millibars. 20 millibars from 16 hours ago. One more millibar over the next 4 hours in you can call it bombing.
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#7 Postby corpusbreeze » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:21 pm

85 south
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#8 Postby Swimdude » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:21 pm

90 mph. Right over Jamaica.
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#9 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:22 pm

90 mph... directly over Jamaica.

Just saw the pressure drop.

It will hit Jamaica as a Category Two and then become a Major as it approaches the Cayman Islands.
Last edited by Brent on Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#10 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:24 pm

100mph south of Jamaica
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#11 Postby wx247 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:25 pm

Looks like it may go just south or over the island... not by 11 though. ;)

Winds at 11 advisory will likely be 90. I am more interested in what the pressure reading will be.
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#12 Postby jhamps10 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:25 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:110 mph right through the northern side of Jamaica. Its pressure is now down to 980 millibars. 20 millibars from 16 hours ago. One more millibar over the next 4 hours in you can call it bombing.


Hey Matt, Where is this 980 milibars coming from?
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#13 Postby jkt21787 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:26 pm

jhamps10 wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:110 mph right through the northern side of Jamaica. Its pressure is now down to 980 millibars. 20 millibars from 16 hours ago. One more millibar over the next 4 hours in you can call it bombing.


Hey Matt, Where is this 980 milibars coming from?

Observation Number: 12
Time: 0155Z
Position: 16.3 North / 73.3 West
Sea Level Pressure: 980 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 9 knots // 180
925 millibar height: 507 meters
925 millibar winds: 11 knots // 200
850 millibar height: 1247 meters
850 millibar winds: 10 knots // 185
700 millibar height: 2904 meters
700 millibar winds: 4 knots // 250
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#14 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:27 pm

wx247 wrote:Winds at 11 advisory will likely be 90. I am more interested in what the pressure reading will be.


980 is the lowest so far... Down 4 mb from just three hours ago.
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#15 Postby HurryKane » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:27 pm

90 mph south of Jamaica.
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#16 Postby jhamps10 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:27 pm

thanks jkt. Must have not seen that recon obvs
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#17 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:27 pm

It also took a jog to the west....
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#18 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:28 pm

Swimdude wrote:90 mph. Right over Jamaica.


What he said.
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#19 Postby abajan » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:31 pm

95 mph :: Just north of Jamaica.
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#20 Postby wx247 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:32 pm

Brent wrote:
wx247 wrote:Winds at 11 advisory will likely be 90. I am more interested in what the pressure reading will be.


980 is the lowest so far... Down 4 mb from just three hours ago.


I saw that... wondering what the advisory will say.
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